Australia: One Foot in Asia v the West


QUESTION: Hello Martin Armstrong,
Australia seems to have one foot in the West and one in the East. With the fall of the Western economies and then the rise of Asian economies, how does that affect the Australian economy? Does the real estate bubble collapse the Aussie economies and then the rise of China creates the opportunity to rebuild the economy after 2032?
Thanks for all the work you do.
J

ANSWER: The computer is projecting that Australia will first have to collapse with Western culture because it has become exceptionally left-wing. This is the collapse of socialism in general. We are collapsing just as communism did. It will be one Pi Cycle (31.4 years) from 1989, which brings us into this target of 2020/2021. We should expect serious political change on the horizon that will result in civil unrest.

Longer-term, however, with one foot in Asia, Australia will turn from the USA and Europe. As I have said, China is MUCH WISER than what we see in the West. While Europe is fighting over old economic models and clinging to theories that no longer work, China is investigating HOW the USA displaced Europe. It did so with LOW TAXES and regulation that built the American consumer market that the entire world has been dependent upon.

Germany’s economic model is still the old Mercantilist theory that national wealth is obtained by selling more stuff than you buy from others. The USA model has been internal rather than the Mercantilist external model. This is what China has realized and it is turning inward. Western society has not figured this out yet. Just look at BREXIT. The entire argument against it in Britain is that they will not be able to sell to Europe. That is really stupid and absurd.

Therefore, when the socialist model collapses in Australia, there will be a natural risk of a separatist movement. Western Australia will certainly find that, economically, they are more aligned with Asia than the East coast.

Farmers going Bankrupt – A Prelude to a Boom?


Part of the cycle for a commodity boom is typically preceded by a commodity depression in which the productive capacity is reduced. We are witnessing that in the agricultural sector. Additionally, extremely cold weather continues. Bankruptcies in the farming sector have been on the rise since 2014. These are the pre-staged events that are required to create a commodity boom for the next cycle — the reduction in supply.

Medical Professionals’ View of Brexit


Physicians were unable to reach a consensus on whether or not Brexit should take place. The Allergists were in favor of scratching it, but the Dermatologists advised not to make any rash moves. The Gastroenterologists had sort of a gut feeling about it, but the Neurologists thought the Brexiters had a lot of nerve.  Meanwhile, the Obstetricians felt certain everyone was laboring under a misconception, while the Ophthalmologists considered the idea shortsighted. The Pathologists yelled, “Over my dead body!” while the Pediatricians said, “Oh, grow up!” The Psychiatrists thought the whole idea was madness, while the Radiologists could see right through it. The Surgeons decided to wash their hands of the whole thing and the Internists claimed it will be a bitter pill to swallow. The Plastic Surgeons said that May’s proposal would “put a whole new face on the matter.”  The Podiatrists thought it was a step forward, but the Urologists were totally peed off at the whole idea. The Anesthesiologists thought it was all a gas, while the Cardiologists didn’t have the heart to say no.  In the end, the Proctologists won out, leaving the entire decision up to the latest poll takers in the Parliament.


The ignorance of the people, press, and the politicians regarding trade with Europe is fascinating. Ever since Britain joined the EU, it has been in a broader declining trend with respect to trade. Post-2007, the growth rate has declined progressively. This entire focus on trade is really braindead. Germany’s entire economic model is export-driven. The USA has the biggest economy, which is created by having a lower-taxed consumer base. That is why everyone from China to Germany stands in line to try to sell to American consumers. China realizes this is a no-win situation and they have turned-inward by trying to develop its own consumer-based economy with less reliance on selling to Americans. The British economy is the #1 market in Europe for German cars. A hard BREXIT will hurt Europe — not Britain!

Britain certainly does not need Europe to keep its economy going. It is the opposite way around and nobody wants to bother to even look at the data. All we get is a bunch of nonsense that trade is so critical and Britain will die without the EU. Not a single newspaper is willing to ever tell the truth. People ask me all the time why I have not done an interview to The Guardian. Quite frankly, they