Posted originally on Apr 14, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The LEFT is ALWAYS much more violent than the RIGHT. The simple difference is that the core philosophy of the RIGHT is you leave me alone, and I will leave you alone. But the core philosophy of the LEFT is always concerned about other people, from them making more than they do to being more successful in general. The LEFT always portrays themselves as VICTIMS, and they are always oppressed because of others. It’s just not fair to them that someone gets a new car and they can’t afford it.
Ironically, women did not need to vote before socialism. There was no income tax, and the real issue would be national policies and war that did not impact the individual – man or woman. Once the United States turned to socialism, then every individual, regardless of their gender or race, was entitled to vote since now laws were being imposed on personal activity and income. The LEFT has always claimed they care, but in truth, they have always been the oppressors throughout history, seeking to dictate every aspect of how people lived their lives.
The LEFT championed the income tax and swore they were only attacking the rich. Now, you must file an income tax form to say you do not owe any tax. The crime is NOT failing to pay the tax; it is FAILURE TO FILE. We are running full-speed into Digital Currencies because the LEFT cannot sleep at night worrying about everyone getting cash under the table.
We just went through an audit in Florida, where we have no state income tax, but we have to collect unemployment taxes from workers. They were looking to see if we were paying CONTRACT WORKERS who are not on the payroll. I said we do not have such workers, which did not matter. We had to go through the audit explaining payments made to other companies, and they would check on them to ensure they were an actual company. After three months of an audit and legal and accounting fees in excess of $50,000, we ended up owing nothing – thank you very much for not believing me in the first place.
Welcome to the LEFT – they care so much about us, they do not believe anything we ever say – we are all just liars and scum. The assumption in government is that “We the People” never pay the taxes they demand. Everyone skims 35% off what they would really owe.
The solution is to eliminate ALL paper money, including crypto, and force us to use their coming digital currencies that can be traced back to their origin. If I give you a $100 bill, they do not know who gave it to me. But if it is a crypto, they know every person in that chain before me. Nobody knows who created blockchainbecause it was the government, and they created Bitcoin to sell this idea to the people, saying that it would be separate from the central banks and anti-fiat. Welcome to the actual end game – the government will get EVERY penny of tax they ever dreamed of.
The LEFT has won! They will monitor absolutely EVERYTHING you do!
Posted originally on Apr 12, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Can central banks not even manipulate the markets?
FS
ANSWER: No. Here is the track record of the central banks when they created the Group of 5 (now G20) in 1985. I warned them they would create a crash within two years. But look at what happened. The fools assumed the central banks could manipulate the dollar. When the Plaza Accord took place, the dollar had already peaked. Because the fools thought the decline was all because of the central banks, when the dollar had fallen too far, they held the Louvre Accord and came out saying the dollar had fallen far enough. When the dollar moved low again, the 1987 Crash too place BECAUSE the central banks were perceived to have no control.
I was named FOREX Person of the year for calling the collapse of the Swiss/Euro Peg. I even met with the Swiss central bank and warned them, They said they would be able to hold the peg and and said now way. I have met with more central banks than probably anyone – ever. I have been in the room when the red phone was ringing between the G5 on manipulating currencies. I need not engage in conspiracy theories. We have first-hand experience.
Even go back to the US Civil War. The dollar was collapsing, and the price of gold soared regarding greenbacks. Lincoln did everything. He shut down gold trading on the New York Stock Exchange. They then traded on the curb and created the Gold Room. Nothing worked.
Here is the New York Times from November 18th, 1864. They observed the “folly of attempting to regulate the price [of gold] or any other article of traffic by forcible interference.” Anyone who claims that gold was suppressed because of manipulation made that up because they do not understand that gold DOES NOT rise linked to inflation. Gold soars when there is a collapse in confidence in government and in times of war, just as it did during the Civil War.
Gold declined for 19 years while inflation rose and the National Debt exploded. Gold has rallied only when the CONFIDENCE in government has declined as we are seeing today. People are getting very tense. In Texas, a guy drove his 18-wheeler into a Texas Public Safety office after being denied a Commercial Drivers License.
CONFIDENCE has collapsed by about 50% since 1980. The movie coming out tomorrow on April 12th is the Civil War. Such a movie 20 years ago would have been unheard of.
Posted originally on Apr 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
One thing that analysts fail to explain is that Americans have begun working multiple jobs since the COVID pandemic that wrecked the global economy. Nonfarm payrolls increased 303,000 in March, but there are millions of Americans holding multiple jobs who can still not keep up with the cost of living even with wages up 4.1% in the past year.
Around5.3% of the US workforce held more than one job, on the books, in 2019 but that slowed during the pandemic when businesses were unable to open. In September 2022, 4.9% of American workers (7.7 million people) held more than one job (on the books) as the economy began to slowly recover but that trend did not stay in motion due to rampant inflation and the cost of living. By October 2023, 5.2% of the US workforce (8.4 million people) held more than one job.
Women are more likely than men to work multiple jobs. And we wonder why there is a birth rate crisis. Around 6% of US women in the workforce had two or more jobs by October 2023 compared to 4.7% of men.
Now these are simply the figures for those working on the books. The Biden Administration killed the gig economy when Americans relied on it the most by imposing numerous regulations that forced companies to classify contractors as employees. Then we have states carelessly raising the minimum wage, eliminating the number of available jobs, and raising costs for businesses overall.
Only 62.7% of abled Americans are participating in the workforce. This does not include the 7.4+ illegal migrants who cannot obtain working permits but rely on government aid. Then they “revise” the jobs report every month, with January’s overwhelming report of 353,000 new jobs now down by 27,000, and February’s posting shedding 5,000. Then if you read between the lines, the number of part-time workers, who do not have benefits, rose by 691,000 while the number of full-time workers decreased by 6,000. The Bureau of Labor and Statistics admitted that the number of Americans holding multiple jobs increased by217,000 or 5.2%, but this is drastically understated as many people work under the table or in odd jobs.
The jobs report is by no means an indication of a strong economy.
Posted originally on Apr 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Since ancient times, eclipses and comets have been omens of good and bad events. The Babylonian priests saw the connection between geopolitical events on Earth and the movement of the stars in the heavens and gave birth to astrology. But they also could see the cycles in everything and were rather good at predicting eclipses. They could easily impress the naive public that they possessed the power to make the sun disappear on their command. I’m sure someday Biden will probably still have such fantasies. So, is the Total Eclipse of 2024 an omen of a market crash or World War III?
Solar eclipses have been observed throughout history. As expected, they have often been seen as omens and comets. We hear that the star of Bethlehem announced the birth of Jesus. Still, the comet that appeared the night Julius Caesar was assassinated has been historically recorded on coins, proving his divinity. So, was the total eclipse of 2024 a good or bad omen? Some point to the July 18th, 1860 total eclipse forewarned of the coming civil war. Is that what historians will look back on this 2024 total eclipse as a forewarning of war?
The appearance of a comet at the time of Julius Caesar’s death promoted his divinity for political purposes. His nephew Octavian, later to be given the name Augustus by the Senate (27BC-14AD), issued coins with the comet that appeared at the time of Caesar’s death with the legend: DIVVS IVLIVS (Divine Julius). This was self-serving and used as justification for his rule as the first Emperor of Rome, beginning the Imperial Era. But that was not Haley’s Comet.
Halley’s Comet was recorded as early as 467 BC by the Greeks. The Chinese chroniclers also mention a comet during this year. However, the Chinese astronomer Shiji also recorded its appearance in 240 BC. The Babylonians recorded its appearance in 164 BC in two clay tablets in the British Museum. Again, the Babylonians recorded its appearance once more in 87 BC. It was this appearance that lasted for about one month was celebrated on the coinage of Tigranes II the Great, an Armenian king who is depicted here on coins with a crown. It was portrayed as ushering in a New Era of the brilliant King of Kings. Tigranes II the Great issued the earliest coin depicting Haley’s Comet, represented by the star in his crown.
Haley’s Comet appeared around 12 BC and was recorded in the Book of Han by Chinese astronomers of the Han Dynasty. They tracked it from August through October during 12 BC. According to the Roman historian Cassius Dio, a comet appeared almost suspended over Rome for several days at the time of the death of Marcus Vipsanius Agrippa, Augustus’close friend. He issued a coin depicting Agrippa with a comet above his head, recording that event.
There has been considerable debate about whether Halley’s Comet was also the Star of Bethlehem. Its appearance in 12 BC is not that distant from the conventionally assigned date of the birth of Jesus Christ, which ranges from 6AD to 4AD. This is based mostly on the biblical story of Herod the Great. It was not long before Herod’s death, which is generally attributed to having occurred in 4BC, but even that is disputed.
Referencing the Haley Comet connection, some theologians and astronomers have also suggested that this might explain the biblical story of the Star of Bethlehem and provide a more documented confirmation of his birth coinciding with the time of the death of Agrippa. However, there are also records of other comets that appeared closer to the date of Jesus’ birth. In a 1991 article in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society, astronomer Colin Humphreys proposed that the Star of Bethlehem was a slow-moving comet, which Chinese observers recorded in 5 BC.
Then, a third theory was put forth in 2008 by the astronomer Dave Reneke, who argued that Jesus was born in the summer. The Star of Bethlehem, Reneke argued, may not have been a comet at all, but Venus and Jupiter came together to form a bright light in the sky. The Jewish historian Josephus tells us:
“So Herod, having survived the slaughter of his son [Antipater] five days, died, having reigned thirty-four years, since he had caused Antigonus to be slain, and obtained his kingdom; but thirty-seven years since he had been made king by the Romans.”
[War of the Jews, 1:33:8 (665); cf. Antiquities of the Jews 17:8:1 (191)]
Therefore, Josephus is providing key target dates for Herod’s death correlating three events:
Five days after the execution of his son Antipater. Thirty-four years after he “obtained his kingdom” referring to his conquest of Jerusalem Thirty-seven years after “he had been made king by the Romans.”
However, total eclipses have also been important omens where people have correlated human events to these events in the sky.
The 1919 eclipse, known as the Einstein Eclipse (Test of General Relativity), also marked the peak in the markets following World War I and the Great Crash. But the total eclipse of August 1932, they said, confirmed the July 1932 low of the stock market in the Great Depression, while others said it forewarned of the new against of Socialism ushered in by Roosevelt. Was the 1932 Eclipse the doomsday omen that would set in motion the debt crisis that would bring the United States down by 2032?
Yet eclipses have also been seen as major markers of events such as the Crucifixion of Jesus. The Christian gospels say that the sky was darkened for hours after the crucifixion of Jesus, which historians viewed either as a miracle or an omen of dark times ahead. Later, historians used astronomy to pinpoint the death of Christ based on this eclipse story. Some historians tie the Crucifixion to a total solar eclipse lasting 1 minute and 59 seconds that occurred in the year 29 AD. In contrast, others say a second total eclipse, blocking the sun for 4 minutes and 6 seconds, aslo took place in 33 AD, marking Jesus’ death.
The Vatican Codex, the oldest copy of the Greek Bible, speaks of the solar eclipse in the Book of Luke. This is supported by a Greek historian named Phlegon, who recorded a solar eclipse in the same period. Phlegon wrote a history entitled The Olympiads, in which he recorded a three-hour eclipse of the sun during the reign of Tiberius (14-37AD). There was also a major earthquake during the reign of Tiberius that wiped out Asia.
In fact, here is a sestertius issued by Tiberius declaring it was issued as relief for the Great Earthquake in Asia, which was devastating. It was so bad that Tiberius waived all taxes for five years and donated 10 million of these coins for the relief of the victims. Yet what is very interesting is the fact that the eclipse of 33AD was also timed with the Great Financial Panic in Rome. The Financial Panic of 33AD provides one of the few detailed accounts of events recorded by the ancient historian Tacitus (56–117AD).
Where a comet (Star of Bethlehem) marked the birth of Jesus, it was an eclipse that marked the birth of Mohammed. The Koran mentions an eclipse that preceded the birth of Mohammed. Historians later tied this to a total eclipse that lasted 3 minutes and 17 seconds in 569 AD. The sun also disappeared for 1 minute and 40 seconds after the death of Mohammed’s son Ibrahim.
Eclipses of the Sun are truly awe-inspiring monumental events that have fostered legends and correlations to world events. Many early cultures have viewed these eclipses as omens of the coming end of the world. The very word “eclipse” is Greek in origin, meaning abandonment, desertion, or relinquishment.
In China, India, Southeast Asia, and Peru, the belief was that great dragons or demons attacked the Sun during such eclipses, trying to devour it. The ancient Egyptian myth of the snake Apep that attacks the boat of the Sun god is believed now to refer to solar eclipses. There was the total eclipse of 1374/1375BC known as the Ugarit Eclipse, recorded in the Early Mesopotamian Records.
“On the day of the new moon, in the month of Hiyar, the Sun was put to shame, and went down in the daytime, with Mars in attendance.”
This was the Age of Amarna, which lasted only about twenty years. We know that Ra was the Egyptian Sun God, so we can understand how an eclipse would be very significant to the Egyptians. This Age of Amarna appears to be greatly influenced by solar eclipses. William McMurray and others have written papers suggesting possible correlations between solar eclipses and historical events, like the founding of the city of Amarna. This revolutionary period of the wealthy Pharaoh named Akhenaten dramatically changed every element of the very way of life in Egypt as he pursued his self-proclaimed monotheistic deity, the Aten sun disk. He ordered the construction, from scratch, of an entire city in the vast desert sands of Middle Egypt. He called it Akhet-Aten, the “Horizon of the Sun Disk.” Today, it is called the city of Amarna. The image of Ra, the ancient Egyptian deity of the sun, always appeared with a sun disk resting on his head from this period forward. The Egyptians aligned their buildings to solstices and equinoxes, even at Amarna, as did the Maya in South America.
His nephew Tutankhamun ruled for ten years after him with his incredible wealth, but the young boy king and his court abandoned the city after only three years. The Age of Amarna also coincided with the rise of the warrior Hittite Empire, which fought to conquer Egypt for six decades. This warfare brought the bubonic plague from the East, which devastated both empires, including royalty.
Solar eclipses are never mentioned explicitly in Egyptian writing. The cult of the Sun god Sol came from the East and the Statue of Liberty with the sun rays projecting from her head is a representation of Sol in ancient times. The cult was Sol Invictus, or the invincible sun that reappeared every day. Sol was depicted with rays of sunlight coming from his head.
Not only was Sol the model of the Statue of Liberty, but December 25th was his feast day. It was so popular that the Christians just made it Christmas since they did not know Jesus’ birthday. An eclipse was a serious event since Sol Invictus meant he returned every night after battling against the Moon and appeared victorious.
So will this mark a major turning point as we head into the ECM turn on May 7th? Some markets are making highs and geopolitical tensions are rising. What I find most alarming is the media keeps portraying Putin as threatening the USA. They never heard of the maxim, barking dogs do not bite. The media refuses to look at the American Neocons and NATO who are doing nothing BUT pushing for war. Putin is warning them that he will not go down without a fight. They keep telling everyone in Washington Putin would NEVER use a nuke because he knows we would retaliate. But if I was Putin and my country was being invaded, I would push the button. This idea that Russia can be conquered without firing a nuke is insane and they know that. They are in bed with the Climate Change morons who want to reduce the world population by at least 2 billion if not 4 billion. Putin is trying to talk common sense here but mainstream media refuses to relent.
We are in 19 cycles of 8.6 years from 1860. It does not look good, and this Total Eclipse just may be looked back on by historians as the turning point in human history. We are saddled by the worst political leadership around the world in my lifetime.
It took the Roman Empire about 314 years (Pi) to realize that it was just too big and complicated for one man to rule. The Tetrarchy was the system instituted by Roman emperor Diocletian (284-305AD) in 293 AD to govern the Empire by dividing it between two emperors, the augusti (presidents), and their junior colleagues and designated successors, the caesars (Vice Presidents). We have reached a critical impasse where the remaining years into 2032 will get difficult. The country is divided, and the agencies are so corrupt that the government is no longer functioning.
The Gallup Poll reflects this, whereby confidence in combined government and institutions in 2022 collapsed to 28%. We are now approaching below 20%. When it comes to Congress, they are at the bottom of the list, next to TV news. People trust small businesses more than anyone—the sector Biden has been trying to destroy.
We are rapidly approaching the collapse of the United States and all of Western Society. Confidence in the British government is down to 13%. The corruption has spread far and wide in Western governments and there is no hope of our survival at this point in time. Those in power will NEVER surrender their power. They said you could vote your way into Communism, but you had to shoot your way out. I hope the same is not going to be true with what we are facing right now.
The November election seems almost light-years away, and these Neocons and Climate Zealots are fools and have no idea that they are destroying Western society. In fact, these Neocons are so ignorant of the world economy that we have a MAJOR CRISIS on the horizon. Indeed, 80% of all drugs used by Americans are imported. Bashing China not only threatens our economy and pushes the government into default if foreign buying of US debt stops, but the health of many Americans is dependent on China.
Meanwhile, the expected retaliation of Iran against Israel does not need to be a nuclear attack. Iran is far more likely to respond with a chemical weapon intermixed with conventional weapons that go unnoticed at first. The effects of this can be strategic long-term, seeking to eliminate the problem of Israel once and for all. It seems everyone is just going nuts. It must be the eclipse. They were always a bad omen among the ancients.
Once upon a time, we had leaders who sought world peace. Today, the Deep State loves Biden because he is not even there 40% of the time. These Neocons are waging war, praying to force Russia to attack, so they then will finally get a Declaration of War from Congress claiming they are the aggressor as Roosevelt did with the Japanese. Thanks to the media always beating the war drums they are paid to create World War III.
Roosevelt was inflicting embargos on the Japanese, freezing their money, and cutting them off from all energy. When they turned to buying fuel from other nations, Roosevelt threatened to blockade their ships. Is it any wonder why the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor to eliminate the US fleet after the threat of an embargo?
What we are doing to Russia is exactly the same way Roosevelt treated the Japanese. There will be only one resolution – World War III. I do not believe that those in Washington and Brussels are this stupid. This is DELIBERATE, and they are trying to provoke Russia to attack, as did the Japanese. They will then claim we wear the white hats and Russia is the aggressor with an unprovoked attack. It worked before. There was even a Senate investigation after the war into the fact that Roosevelt knew Pearl Harbor was to be attacked and pulled out the important ships, all to force Congress to enter the war.
Just like the President used Executive Orders to circumvent Congress and the Constitution, we do the same. We probably do not even have enough time to pull this off. I have been expressing this behind the scenes.
While the Senate must approve the White House appointments to courts and agencies, they DO NOT have approval over the direct personnel of the President or who they select for Vice President. This is my proposal! The President, Vice President, and Chief of Staff create a TRIPARTITE Ticket whereby the Chief of Staff will oversee the agencies. This is absolutely critical!!!
For those who attended the WEC last, I brought on stage the former chief of staff in the Financial Services Committee in the House of Representatives. He explained how Congress really works and to become the leader is not the person championing change but who plays ball with the status quo. All of the Agencies are on the take. They are now controlled by the very people they are supposed to be regulating. We need an AGENCY CZAR, but we cannot create another agency, for that means Congress gets to supervise, and they will be paid off to block it.
It is well known that The Deep State, the Fourth Branch of the government, is totally UNELECTED! They include all of the Administrative Agencies. It was this Fourth Branch that was out to overthrow Trump in 2020. The entire COVID Scam was directed NOT by Fauci but by Mike Pence with Debroach Birx. Birx sent instructions to all the governors precisely the opposite of what Trump ordered. She is the one who closed the schools, and she is the one who put in place the ZERO infections at all costs. She was part of this unelected Fourth Branch. They were deliberately trying to destroy the economy to make sure Trump would lose the election.
Right now, before the Supreme Court is a case, many hope will be overruled – the Chevron rule directing judges to defer to this Fourth Branch and use their own laws. The Chevron Case has created an intolerable SWAMP, and unless the Supreme Court overrules Chevron, there is no hope of ever getting control of our government back.
This is why we need a third position: corruption has consumed the government so much that this unelected dictatorial Fourth Branch is above the law in every possible way we look at it. We need a Chief of Staff who is not subject to appointment by the Senate to oversee the agencies. With the power to fire anyone, the office of Inspector General should be provided with the power to indict anyone in government as the Tribune of the Plebs was permitted during the Roman Republic. The Department of Justice has shown that there is no rule of law pushing to indict Trump, yet at the same time, it is refusing to treat Biden the same.
The Justice Department put Peter Navarro in prison for refusing to comply with a subpoena from Congress and then refused to honor subpoenas regarding Hunter Biden. The Judge actually said, “Are you kidding me?” They threw in prison anyone connected to Trump while they violated the very same subpoenas regarding the Bidens. You just cannot make this up. We are too far gone now.
In this third position, a Chief of Staff who effectively becomes the Agency Czar, supervises the agencies. He can be given the power to fire any bureaucrat in an executive order, just as Biden tried to make it impossible if Trump is elected to prevent him from firing the Neocons and Climate nut-jobs to ensure Biden’s bureaucrats are untouchable.
Now Listen to RFK Jr. He was NOT anti-vax, and the propaganda portrays it. All the media is bought and paid for, and they care nothing about society, your health, or the survival of the nation. They simply mouth what they are paid to do from above. Listen carefully to what he says about dealing with agencies.
As I have said. I would get the flu shot, and my kids were vaccinated. With corruption in ALL the Agencies, I would no longer take a vaccine for anything since they are making everything MRNA created by their computers and are not properly tested. They do not rely on the age-old method of creating vaccines with a real disease sample to get your body to resist it. Because they have paid off the officials for absolute immunity and are funding the agencies that regulate them, there is not anyone left the people can trust when the government is for sale.
Every agency is beholden to the very entities it is supposed to regulate. The CFTC and SEC will ONLY criminally prosecute small firms. The big firms pay only fines for blowing up the economy. They will pay a large fine, like Goldman Sachs’s $5 billion for its mortgage-backed securities in 2016 against their annual profit of $27.9 billion. It amounts to just a royalty as the CDC gets from big Pharma.
There is a major systemic corruption crisis that has undermined the entire government. In finance, for years there have been serious issues with what has been called the Revolving Door at the Securities Exchange Commission. The very companies that are supposed to be regulated routinely hire from the SEC and as such, this contributes to the SEC refusing to prosecute the very companies that hire them. They tear apart small firms for minor infractions and never touch the major firms that they hope to land a high-paying job.
Then, Goldman Sachs puts in place its own people to head various agencies from the Treasury to the SEC and CFTC. This is a standard practice that has been in finance for decades. Bill Gates and the Drug Companies are doing the same with the health industry. Instead of bankers never being prosecuted, we have health agencies compromising our very health at the direction of the people they are supposed to be regulating. Joe Biden put in Gary Gensler as the new head of the SEC, who is an ex-Investment Banker from Goldman Sachs. He also advised Biden on the Federal Reserve staff.
Even Elon Mush starts hearing the same thing from behind the curtail. These people are insane, but they do want to create World War III to reduce the population. This election is so important, for if Biden is reflected, the SWAMP will consume us, and the computer is projecting there may not even be an election in 2028.
RFK Jr. has experience as a lawyer. He will be overwhelmed as president, which is what they will do. However, he knows the problem, and we should have a Triparte Ticket with RFK Jr. as the Chief of Staff Agency Czar, Trump, at the head of the ticket. I would select Rand Paul for VP.
The government is far too large for a single person to run. The vice president should have more than just a ceremonial position. The Agency Czar needs power to really drain the SWAMP. Of course, I am only dreaming. We have to crash and burn, I suppose. I am glad I am not 18 years old. This will become someone else’s problem. The target 2032 will be (3 x 8.6) 258 years from the Boston Tea Party on December 16, 1773. Then, on May 17th, 1774, Rhode Island called for an “Intercolonial Congress” of the Colonies to be created. Then, in response to the Boston Tea Party, on June 2, 1774, England passed the Intolerable Acts demanding that their troops, under the new Quartering Act, required American colonists to provide better housing for British soldiers upon demand. This was followed by unifying the colonies, and the Revolution was set in motion. On September 5th, 1774, the First Continental Congress assembled in Philadelphia.
QUESTION: Marty Socrates was the only one to forecast the trend change in Israel in 2021. With tensions rising over Iran, the forecast for a dollar rally into 2025 seems to be on point. My question is, I assume the 2021 low is a major low, and how high will the dollar go?
Thank you so much for Socrates. It is the only analysis that is ever unbiased.
HS
ANSWER: The 2021 low was the target on the array and our Bifurcation models. This currency elected a Yearly Bullish signal at the end of 2022, and that confirmed that the 2021 low would be a major low. It is interesting that when Israel withdrew from Lebanon in 1983, the dollar rose for 19 years. It was 2021 when the Israeli-Palestine Crisis started to catch fire. Once again, you see that the dollar rises from the threat of a Middle East War.
The volatility was due to rise the first week of April but this appears to be escalating into the week of April 22n
Posted originally on Mar 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION #1: What is your opinion of Trump’s statement regarding the COVID vaccine: “YOU’RE WELCOME, JOE, NINE MONTH APPROVAL TIME VS. 12 YEARS THAT IT WOULD HAVE TAKEN YOU!””
JN
ANSWER #1: I have a serious disagreement with Trump, and it bothers me that he has not expressed what so many now realize was wrong.
QUESTION #2: Do you think Trump was correct with North Korea and NATO?
PH
ANSWER #2: On those issues, yes, I would have to agree. If you refuse to negotiate with an opponent, you better be prepared for confrontation. The policy against North Korea was to use sanctions to PREVENT them from getting nuclear weapons. That policy was a huge mistake, for it only confirmed that they needed nuclear weapons. The US does not invade China or Russia because they have weapons, as does Iran. From that perspective, the only way to prevent a US invasion is to have nukes. This is the problem that has emerged with our Neocons, who are always engaged in regime change around the world. Now, North Korea has the nukes, so what good are the sanctions? They failed. The policy has to shift to preventing North Korea from using them.
As far as NATO is concerned, it has steadily moved eastward when it said it would not. Putin told the truth in the Tucker Interview despite mainstream media saying he lied and is a paraia thereby guaranteeing the only option is war. Obviously, you cannot negotiate with such an evil man, so we must move to nuclear war to eliminate one man. But the Declassified documents from the Clinton Administration I got and published in the book Plot to Seize Russia confirm that there was indeed talk of Russia joining NATO.
It does not matter WHAT government agency you hand power to; they will NEVER surrender it willingly. Every other nation has ONE REGULATORY body, and the USA has the CFTC and the SEC, plus the Federal Reserve over banks. If you obey the laws of one, you go to jail with the other. This hurts American citizens, for they cannot avail themselves of a hedge fund, and they must decide what sector to invest in, which is why I provide Socrates covering everything.
The bond guys will say they are the best, and so will the commodity guy, the stock guy, and the gold seller. They will all swear they are the best. A hedge fund was forced offshore, and the hedge fund manager made those decisions. This does not allow the average American to get the best available funds management.
I ran the ONLY onshore hedge fund in the world for Deutsche Bank, which was set up in Australia. It was a pain, you know where. They wanted CVs of every broker on the floor where I would ever do a trade. But we put up with it because we were trying to make headway into bringing professional management to the average person. The average annual return was 38%, and the drawdown average was 1%. Nobody ever produced such an audited track record. SORRY. I retired from funds management. I’ve been there and done that.
NATO presents a threat to the entire world. If there is PEACE with Russia, then we do not need NATO, which was formed to defend against communism, which fell all by itself. So why do we need NATO? We do not. They will constantly swear Russia will invade Europe any day now, so they remain relevant and keep their funding.
YES – I would defund NATO and negotiate with Russia and China to lower tensions, for the common people around the world do not want war – only our insane leaders.
Posted originally on Mar 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
My January 2020 interview with Andrew McCreath from BNN Bloomberg came up in recent conversation, and I was asked how I knew then that we’d be where we were at now. My answer is the same — I just follow the models. Some unfamiliar with my work merely looked at the headline “DOW 40,000” and dismissed my forecast as if it were my personal opinion. The Dow was 29240 on the day of the interview and while many feared a correction was coming I explained any dip was likely short-term in nature that that it would need to drop below 19000 to be truly considered a bear market and – BUT that fell on deaf ears. Even with the notable COVID dip that soon followed this interview, the market bounced right back to new highs thereafter and the models stayed on track over the long term. We experienced one of the most HATED bull markets in history. Despite all of the turmoil over the years, The Dow consistently went up for over a decade but all the talking heads insisted it would go down.
Now, those same analysts are mad that they missed the entire bull market. The short-term forecast called for a dip in 2020 and a chance to get in on the action (and COVID provided that dip in spades), but I explained that there would not be a change in the long-term trend as my computer indicated we would enter a private wave that would peak in 2024 and go off into a half-8.6-year cycle into 2028. This was all indicated by the computer system as no individual could have foreseen the events that have unfolded over the past four years.
All of the models were heating up for 2024. This is why we focus primarily on the long-term, and closely monitor capital concentration – follow the money. There was trouble in Europe and Asia, so the capital needed to flee, and that safe haven happened to be the US. It is America’s final years as the leading financial capital of the world as historically it always changes. America dethroned Britain after World War II and China is on it’s way to dethrone America after 2032.
I also pointed out that inflation would be the focal point for 2024, leading to interest rates changing and becoming a key factor for central banks globally. Volatility paired with the private wave, where capital must escape the public sector, would also lead to an uptick in the commodity cycle.
The business cycle cannot be manipulated, but it can be analyzed. However, that’s not how most market analysts work. Long-term, macro requires looking at every market throughout the globe, studying past behavior through historical patterns in price and time. The models do a tremendous job doing this.
Now, everyone is praising the rising Dow that will touch the 40,000 level. Of course, it is easier to say that now that we are almost there. Again, few believed me back in 2020, but here we are. Governments throughout the world are still in trouble and the money remaining on the grid is fleeing into the US. This is another reason why I watch the Dow a bit more closely than the S&P 500, as it provides a more accurate indicator of the big foreign money piling in from throughout the world.
For those who wrote in asking if I still stand by my claims – yes, the computer is still indicating that we are looking at a Dow that could rise to 65,000 by 2032, when we are likely to see a change in not just the markets but governments worldwide. I wish I could tell you something different.
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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