Dems Want Taxes on Tips and Overtime


Posted originally on Mar 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Tax Robbery

The party of war voted in unison against ending taxes on tips and overtime work. Only one Republican voted against these measures, with 217 in favor. The Democrats are NOT the party of the working class and have been actively working to undermine the people for years.

Ending taxes on tips and overtime was one of Trump’s campaign promises, which is precisely why the Democrats struck down the bill. Laughably, the opponents stated they were concerned that losing $2 trillion in tax breaks over the next decade would hurt the national debt. The very people who have never seen a social program they did not want to fund are suddenly concerned about the national debt.

Franklin Taxes

Kamala Harris was in favor of these policies and had the backing of her party. Her feigned support was an effort to win over the people, no different from the failed promise of ending student loans. “It is my promise to everyone here, when I am president, we will continue to fight for working families, including to raise the minimum wage and eliminate taxes on tips for service and hospitality workers,” Harris told a crowd at the University of Nevada in August 2024.

The Democrats want everyone to be equally poor and dependent upon the government. Some lawmakers say eliminating tip taxes would be unfair to workers in states with a lower minimum wage. Under that line of thinking, should we penalize those who work in cities where, say, a meal is 5X the price as it would be elsewhere? Why should anyone out earn another in this fantasy socialist utopia? Minimum wage is a short-sighted political move that ignores the fundamental laws of supply and demand. Politicians always assume they can simply legislate prosperity, but history proves otherwise. Forcing businesses to pay higher wages does not magically create wealth—it destroys jobs, accelerates automation, and puts small businesses out of business.

Wages rise naturally in a real economic expansion when businesses compete for workers. That is how a free market functions. But when governments artificially raise wages, businesses respond logically—by cutting jobs, reducing hours, or passing the costs onto consumers through inflation. The very people politicians claim to be helping end up worse off, as their cost of living rises and entry-level jobs disappear.

Tipping culture is completely out of control in America. There is an expectation for consumers to pay a minimum of 20% in addition to inflated services, regardless of the quality of their service. Kiosks and self-checkout payment systems often ask for a tip. Consumers are less likely to go out when money is tight and the initial service has already risen due to inflation. Then, the government wants to take a portion of these tips AND the initial salary in most states. Whatever we must buy is then taxed; whatever we save is then taxed. Government greed knows no bounds. They’re too incompetent to manage funds, so they continue to squeeze our pockets, but it is never enough.

Taxing overtime pay is just another example of how clueless politicians are when it comes to economics. The entire purpose of overtime is to compensate workers for putting in extra hours beyond a normal workweek. Yet, instead of rewarding hard work, governments see it as another opportunity to grab more revenue. Why would the government disincentivize people from working? We are eager to keep our hospitals staffed, ports flowing, trucks moving, etc. but are discouraging a productive workforce by dipping into their earnings.

Do the Dems who voted against these policies hate the American people, Trump, or both? No one is buying their feigned concern for the national debt. If policymakers had any real understanding of economics, they would eliminate taxes on overtime and tips entirely. If you want a strong economy, you incentivize productivity, not penalize it.

Hungary and Slovakia to Vote Against Ukrainian Aid Package


Posted Mar 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

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The war in Ukraine has disproportionately hurt Hungary and Slovakia. To add insult to injury, Zelensky declined to renew a gas line deal that was providing the two European nations with essential energy. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Slovakia’s Prime Minister Robert Fico have once again broken ties with the European Union and shot down the latest Ukrainian aid package.

Fico has said that he would not send Ukraine another euro and called “peace through strength” measures “unrealistic.” Furthermore, Fico sees through Zelensky’s victimization and is reportedly “sick” of his games. “He roams Europe begging and blackmailing, asking others for money. This needs to stop,” Fico adamantly said.

Hungary’s Orban wrote a letter to Brussels in which he urged for peace. “I am convinced that the European Union – following the example of the United States – should enter into direct discussions with Russia on a ceasefire and a sustainable peace in Ukraine,” Orban wrote to Antonio Costa, who heads the Council of the EU’s 27 member states. Instead of seeing this man as someone who wants to prevent death and destruction, Western media is pinning him as a Russian tool and Putin ally.

“If the summit does not respect that there are other views than continuing the war, the European Council on Thursday may not be able to agree on conclusions on Ukraine,” Fico said in a Facebook post. Orban said that the differences in opinion “cannot be bridged” but believes that the EU must vote unanimously on the next aid package.

Costa replied to Orban’s letter with a biased anti-Russian stance, claiming that the EU does, in fact, want peace—but they’re unwilling to take any measures to ensure peace. Brussels does not protect its member states. Slovakia and Hungary repeatedly urged Brussels to take their energy crisis into consideration but the EU dismissed their pleas. Now, they’re asking all member states to continually pour money into one of the most corrupt nations in Europe for nothing in return. Brussels is akin to some cult leader begging members for all their funding, promising to protect them from some inevitable threat that will never come before asking them to commit (economic) suicide.

The European Union cannot survive for a plethora of reasons, one being that certain nations no longer wish to see their people live through World War III. We will see on March 6 if the EU respects the vote of all member states or if they blatantly move ahead without unanimous support.

Poland


Posted originally on Mar 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Poland ECM 1989 2041

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I just write to you because you are the only source for reliable news and forecasting here in Poland and Estonia. Your computer forecast our election and the markets incredibly. I understand why people try to slander you. It is always kill the messenger because they cannot argue with the message. I was concerned that you said 2025 was 86 years from Hitler invading Poland. Do you have any updates? I fear for Poland’s future.

LK

2023 10 26 Poland_s_new_parliament_to_convene_on_November_13_president_English_Section_


ANSWER: Yes, President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk.

Poland Germany 3 28 1939

The tensions with similar rhetoric preceded Hitler’s invasion of September 1st, 1939, for several months. That began in January/February 1939, and curiously, it was about 8.6 months later when the invasion took place. The rhetoric is now equally hateful. This is not going to look good. Tusk wants war with Russia.

2025

This year is 86 years from the 1939 invasion of Poland. The target year 2025 was also showing up to the start of civil unrest in Romania. This is an important year overall for the Eastern European nations in general.

WarsawPoland_Stock_Index Q 3 3 25

The Warsaw Shar Index has an important Double Directional Change for the 2nd quarter here this year. With Trump suspending money to Ukraine, we must ask, will Europe pick up the tab? If not, will the Ukrainian politicians demanding Zelensky resign and flee the country while he still can? Maybe Britain will give him political asylum.

The Clean Industrial Deal


Posted originally on Mar 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Climate Change Hidden Agenda

The European Commission crafted a new strategy to funnel money into climate change initiatives—The Clean Industrial Deal (CID). The European Union has watched as these net zero carbon goals slowly strangle their economies. Yet, those in charge believe they can achieve net zero by 2050 through perpetual spending. The Clean Industrial Deal will allegedly help “energy-insensitive” sectors remain competitive through a €100 billion spending package.

“We are going to rethink the logic of public procurement to include criteria of sustainability, resilience, and European preference,” European Commissioner for Industry, Stéphane Séjourné, noted. They believe there is benefits toward forcing the private sector to become dependent on public funds. Europe refuses to acknowledge that its policies have caused energy prices to skyrocket and seep into every single sector, causing overall inflation to rise across the continent. Instead of abandoning the sinking ship, Brussels is forcing the continent to set sail on a mission that is destined to fail.

EU Commission President Ursula admitted that current policies have caused energy costs to increase. Businesses and consumers have no desire to go green and there is net zero demand. Capital is hightailing it out of Europe as a result and these politicians still will not change course. “Production costs have increased, especially for energy-intensive industries. Demand for green products has dropped, and some investments have relocated to other regions,” she admitted.

One sentence that proves governments are becoming more authoritarian:

“We need to do with lithium and cobalt what we did with Covid vaccines.” – Stéphane Séjourné

Brussels is prepared to force companies and consumers to comply by any means necessary. New regulatory commissions are forming to analyze European industries to ensure they are in adherence. Businesses will be audited for their energy consumption and forced to report their energy usage to unelected authorities who do not have their best interests in mind.

We cannot speak on climate change without noting the policy that sparked the movement—the Great Reset and Agenda 2030. Agenda 2030 was created by World Economic Forum’s Klaus Schwab to force a one world government upon the world. Hence, we are seeing an increase in policies that threaten the private sector to force everyone to become dependent on government.

Schwab Klaus World Reset

Von der Leyen swears that “by 2030, the EU’s renewable energy targets will generate over 3.5 million new jobs.” One of the core pillars of Agenda 2030 is the push for net zero policies, which, as I have explained, are nothing more than government-imposed economic warfare on the private sector. Europe is dismantling its own industrial base. Germany, once the economic powerhouse of the EU, is in freefall because of insane energy policies that have made electricity prices uncompetitive. French Economy Minister Eric Lombard admitted that economic policies are causing GDP to decline.

The bureaucrats will not reverse course or admit that their poor policies are causing capital to flee. Expect to see more financial restrictions, wealth taxes, and digital currencies designed to trap capital. The collapse of confidence in government is what ultimately destroys economies, and Europe is on that path.

US Treasury Secretary Says China Will “Eat any Tariffs”


Posted originally on Mar 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

ScottBessent

The primary policy implemented under the Trump Administration that I believe has the potential to destroy the US economy is tariffs. The very people who are supposed to advise Trump do not comprehend the global nature of the economy and the repercussions of tariffs. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently came out to say that China will simply “eat any tariffs that go on.”

“Well, we don’t know yet because it’s path-dependent, but what I can tell you is that I’m not worried about China,” Bessent said. “China will pay for the tariffs because their business model is exporting their way out of this inflation.” Our own Treasury Secretary does not understand that tariffs are inflationary.

Trump’s tariffs on China were meant to correct the so-called trade imbalance. Yet, as I’ve repeatedly pointed out, tariffs do not address the core issue—capital flows. America’s trade deficit is driven by capital inflows, not trade policy. Foreign nations invest in US assets, which results in a capital account surplus. By imposing tariffs, the US government added to inflation, raised costs for American businesses, and forced manufacturers to seek alternative supply chains in Vietnam and Mexico rather than returning to the US.

Economic power shifts not through tariffs but through capital investment and confidence. China simply will redirect its exports elsewhere, while American consumers pay higher prices. We saw this happen during the first US-China trade war when Trump first entered the White House.

China is prepared to take retaliatory measures against the US. “If the U.S. insists on its own way, China will take all necessary countermeasures to defend its legitimate rights and interests,” a Ministry of Commerce spokesperson told CNBC. America has already lost China as its top trading partner, but what’s worse is that American politicians on both sides have caused the Chinese to stop purchasing US debt.

Trump is keen to see capital flowing back to the United States and must realize that these tariffs will have the precise opposite effect. I am less concerned about his tariffs on China than about his proposed tariffs on Europe. The tariff on China is more about the cost of production since “Made in China” means it was made cheaper with cheap labor and domestic (Chinese) parts.

China US Trade War

The Epstein Files


Posted originally on

pOSTED originally on Mar 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Epstein Ornament

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I found your initial comment that Epstein was not a pedophile offensive. Then, with time and saying there were over 200 girls, you pointed out these were all high-profile people interesting. Then your last comment that the real question nobody asks is who did he work for? Is this why there seems to be holding back the files?

GG

Epsteins Island

ANSWER: I believe they have stepped into a pile of shit, as they say, and it stinks so bad, they can’t get it off their shoes. I believe the spin of this is seriously wrong. Epstein was working for someone, and the people who flew with him to his island were his marks or real victims. In other words, the object was to get evidence on them to blackmail them into doing whatever.

Look, the legal age is 16 in England, not 18. They are free from parental control, can leave home, can start a family, can get married, can start work, can pay taxes, and can join the military forces.

Epsteing Andrew

Now, look at this map. Epstein has an island in the US Virgin Islands. If he were really concerned about obeying the law, he would have bought an island in the British Virgin Islands. JUST CROSS THAT BORDER and everything would have been legal. If it was legal, then what was the point. I doubt that most middle-aged men could tell the difference if a girl was 17 or 18 by just looking at them.

This was a professional honey trap. I doubt this was just for fun, and I doubt that this was to blackmail people for Epstein’s personal benefit. This had to be an operation for someone else and he was paid to get people into compromising positions to do certain things.

Hoover J. Edgar
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J. Edgar Hoover was probably the most powerful non-elected person in modern American history. As FBI director from 1924 through his death in 1972, he used the tools of state to create a power base that was unrivaled in American history. Speaking with members of Congress over the years and staff, they would recount how Hoover would use blackmail and intimidation against members of Congress. He would go to their office and say I just wanted to let you know that this came up about something you had done. He would say if the FBI discovered this fact, perhaps your opponent might. They would have to thank him and then they were on his short leash.

Anna Chapman was a Russian Spy caught in New York City. She was swapped for American spies in 2010 and made headlines in New York. She was stunningly beautiful as well as stunningly successful. Well, if you are going to betray secrets, this is far better than the rubber hose treatment. She became known as Vladimir Putin’s weapon of mass distraction.

Honey Traps were very common during the Cold War. The KGB would send stunningly beautiful Russian women to entangle men in strategic positions. This is a very old trick to get information. In my opinion, this was the real gold of Epstein—to get people in compromising positions so his real benefactors could have leverage. Who was his real boss? Some say Israel.

The Truth Behind Romania


Posted originally on Mar 4, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

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QUESTION: I read your post on Romania. Why have the EU and US interfered in the Romanian election? Is it just because they would be anti-EU? But then why was the US involved? What am I missing?

PW

NATO Air Base

ANSWER: It’s all about Russia, Russia, Russia. They needed to nullify the election in Romania because they were building the largest NATO airbase in Europe. They intend to attack Russia and take back Crimea and the entire region. They want to take all the warm water ports, shut down Russia, and drive it into bankruptcy.

Everything they do is to create World War III. They are no different than Zelensky, who is not interested in peace. He is a NeoNazi who pretended to be Christian, just like George Soros, and only said he was Jewish after he became President so nobody would look at his background, making jokes about confiscating assets from Jews and Russians.

Robert MacNamara was the Neocon who took us into Vietnam. He said they thought Russia was involved. He apologized and said it was just a civil war. It has been nothing by Russia, Russia, Russia for decades. They did not care that communism collapsed, and the Russian people did not want to conquer Europe. NATO has no purpose if there is peace with Russia. They need to promote war constantly, and they instruct the leaders not to dare speak with Putin. That ensures there will never be peace.

Thus, Romania is a strategic pawn in this chess game with Russia. They do not care about the Romanian people whatsoever. How dare they select someone who wants to take Romania out of NATO and the EU!

Romania_Bet Y Arrsay 3 1 23

Here is the forecast from 2022 for the Romanian share market. Note that the turning point was 2025. I feel very bad for the Romanian people. The EU looks at you as irrelevant in their quest to take Russia’s $75 trillion worth of natural resources, which is twice the US National Debt. Then Europe will rise to reestablish what was the old Roman Empire, and the upstart USA will be reduced to a subservient position.

Trump Pauses all Funds to Ukraine – About Time!


Posted originally onMar 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

2025_03_03_21_05_59_Donald_J._Trump_realDonaldTrump_Truth_Social

I have been stating all along all of my sources say the same thing. Zelensky is just a puppet of the Neocons. He takes his orders from them and they do not want peace. They have invested so much into this war to conquer Russia that they are not about to walk away.

I said I knew that Zelensky insisted upon meeting at the White House 5 days before. My sources told me the plan was to try to embarrass Trump, for they had all the media on their side and all the European leaders. Zelensky was all pumped up and thought he could turn the table on Trump and keep the money flowing.

Zelenskyy Johnson

Part of the reason I was told 2 days in advance was because they always send Boris Johnson to give Zelensky orders. He killed the peace deal that was on the table back then and that even made the front pages of the Ukrainian Press.

Boris Johnson Unkaine 2 25 25

They also send in Boris to give the commands to Zelensky because he is not in office right now. I was told that he urgently flew to Ukraine to kill the signing of the mineral deal and to tell Zelensky to fly to Washington and insist on a meeting at the White House. I believe the first vote by the Ukrainian MPs was not unanimous for Zelensky, and Boris instructed them to suddenly claim Zelensky was voted in. Their constitution does not allow for extensions, and the claim that Martial Law overrides the constitution calls into question whether Zelensky can even represent Ukraine legally.

When Boris urgently flew to Ukraine and did his Good Morning Britain interview, he did it from Ukraine—not London. This was a setup that backfired. Trump has seen through this facade and now knows that Europe has been conspiring against him. Trump has now come out and cut off all aid to Ukraine and lets see the Europeans put their money where their mouths are behind the curtain, pulling the strings.

“The President has been clear that he is focused on peace. We need our partners to be committed to that goal as well. We are pausing and reviewing our aid to ensure that it is contributing to a solution.”

A White House official said.

Tusk wew Don’t Need USA


Posted originally on Mar 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

QUESTION: You said Europe thinks it no longer needs the United States to defend it. Do you have any leaders saying that publicly?

UT

ANSWER: Polish PM Donald Tusk made a speech before he took his flight to London for the European Ukraine summit that was planned well in advance. He said:

“500 million Europeans are asking 300 million Americans to defend them against 140 million Russians. I want to repeat these words. If you know how to count, count on yourself, start relying on yourself. Not in isolation, but with full awareness of your own potential. Europe, if there is something we lack today, it is not economic or demographic power, but the belief that we are truly a global force.”

Zelensky told No


Posted originally on Mar 3, 2025 by Martin Armstrong