The Modern Day Exodus from New York


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics Re-Posted Jan 28, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Florida is showing the world that we can still have a normal life and COVID is even less than places like New York which has destroyed businesses, its economy, and even theatre. There will be no return to normal for millions are leaving New York and it is the modern-day Exodus in biblical terms. Now Florida has even stepped up and said if Tokyo backs out of the summer Olympics again, they will be glad to host it.

When I ran my models, it was clear that the states that would do best were Texas and Florida and that was 6 years ago. Ever since I simply followed Socrates, so many people I know have started the move. With New York committing economic suicide, our model which also suggests that if the USA turns into a civil war after 2027, it will be North v South once again. These trends unfold in line with our model, but they are slow-moving. The breakup of the United States appears likely by 2037 where at the very least we will see an end to centralized government control and the resurrection of state rights. Unemployment in New York City itself is likely to spare beyond 50% and crime will explode.

South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem Discusses How The GOP Has Failed The Country


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 27, 2021 by Sundance

South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem comments on ways in which members of the establishment Republican party ‘failed’ the country, her efforts in protecting certain rights in her own state, the hypocrisy of other lawmakers throughout the country, whether or not she has plans for higher office, and a fun fact about the geography of her state.  WATCH:

The establishment Republican apparatus, writ large, is positioning Nikki Haley as the next GOPe candidate in line.  To achieve this goal they will reintroduce the splitter strategy in 2024 that will likely include Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis and Kristi Noem.

DeSantis = MAGA

Noem = MAGA Lite with a Koch Twist

Haley = Full blown establishment (the female Jeb)

Cruz = Controlled opposition

House Leader Kevin McCarthy Heading to Florida for Meeting With President Trump


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 27, 2021 by Sundance

You know it had to irk President Trump intensely for House minority Leader Kevin McCarthy to blame the Capitol Hill riots squarely on him.  Additionally, thanks to Rand Paul, with 45 senators voting to dismiss the article of impeachment, President Trump now knows the almost certain February outcome of the ridiculous partisan effort.  That’s the background for a report that Kevin McCarthy is heading to Florida this week for talks with President Trump.

The MAGA movement President Trump inspired is itching to break down the republican party in the next set of primary races.  McCarthy has no leverage; the establishment GOP have no leverage; the republican national committee have no leverage.  President Trump can destroy the republican party with a few targeted and direct words.

WASHINGTON – Former President Trump is expected to meet this week with House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) in Florida, a source familiar with the meeting confirmed to The Hill.

The rendezvous, which was first reported by Punchbowl News, comes as McCarthy attempts to manage simmering tensions within the House GOP caucus amid the fallout from the Jan. 6 riots at the Capitol and Trump’s ensuing impeachment for his role in the mayhem.

McCarthy’s office did not respond to a request for comment. (read more)

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Federal Reserve Warns Joe Biden Policies are Weakening US Economy


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 27, 2021 by Sundance

The Federal Reserve panel sent a warning about the U.S. economy starting to suffer as the JoeBama administration starts to institute “America Last” policies.  The financial media will not directly point to the Biden policy agenda as the primary source of the issue, but the background context of a new administration is exactly the difference.

Even during the worst aspects of the 2020 COVID-19 impact during the Donald Trump administration, the underpinning of the U.S. economy remained strong.  However, now that JoeBama has taken office the 2021 COVID-19 impact is being used as an excuse.

WASHINGTON DC – The Federal Reserve on Wednesday struck a more somber tone about the U.S. economy, saying the recovery is weakening as the country waits for widespread vaccinations against the coronavirus.

“The pace of the recovery in economic activity and employment has moderated in recent months, with weakness concentrated in the sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic,” the Fed’s rate-setting committee said in its post-meeting statement. That contrasts with its observation last month that the economy had “continued to recover.”  (read more)

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Feds Arrest Twitter Troll Ricky Vaughn For Posting LOL Memes, Biden Administration Claims Subversive Election Interference Via Twitter


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 27, 2021 by Sundance

Well folks, for those few remaining Americans who did not accept we were entering the full Orwellian era, you can eliminate those remaining shreds of hope.  As unbelievable as it might sound federal authorities in the DOJ have arrested the person behind the Twitter Account “Ricky Vaughn” for posting memes against the interests of the U.S. government.

Let that sink in for a few minutes.

Literally all the guy did was post snarky memes poking fun of democrats and Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election…  However, the United States government has now claimed: “the defendant exploited a social media platform to infringe one the of most basic and sacred rights guaranteed by the Constitution: the right to vote.”

So what was 31-year-old Douglass Mackey’s (aka Ricky Vaughn), activity?  He posted a funny and snarky meme on Twitter:

DOJ – […] Mackey allegedly tweeted an image that featured an African American woman standing in front of an “African Americans for [Hillary]” sign. The image included the following text: “Avoid the Line. Vote from Home. Text ‘[Hillary]’ to 59925[.] Vote for [Hillary] and be a part of history.” The fine print at the bottom of the image stated: “Must be 18 or older to vote. One vote per person. Must be a legal citizen of the United States. Voting by text not available in Guam, Puerto Rico, Alaska or Hawaii. Paid for by [Hillary] for President 2016.”  The tweet included the typed hashtags “#Go [Hillary]” and another slogan frequently used by the Candidate.

You have to read the Press Release HERE and pick your jaw off the floor.

DOJ Press Release –  A Florida man was arrested this morning on charges of conspiring with others in advance of the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election to use various social media platforms to disseminate misinformation designed to deprive individuals of their constitutional right to vote.

Douglass Mackey, aka Ricky Vaughn, 31, of West Palm Beach, was charged by criminal complaint in the Eastern District of New York. He was taken into custody this morning in West Palm Beach and made his initial appearance before U.S. Magistrate Judge Bruce E. Reinhart of the Southern District of Florida.

“According to the allegations in the indictment, the defendant exploited a social media platform to infringe one the of most basic and sacred rights guaranteed by the Constitution: the right to vote,” said Nicholas L. McQuaid, Acting Assistant Attorney General of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division. “This indictment underscores the department’s commitment to investigating and prosecuting those who would undermine citizens’ voting rights.”

“There is no place in public discourse for lies and misinformation to defraud citizens of their right to vote,” said Seth D. DuCharme, Acting U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York. “With Mackey’s arrest, we serve notice that those who would subvert the democratic process in this manner cannot rely on the cloak of Internet anonymity to evade responsibility for their crimes. They will be investigated, caught and prosecuted to the full extent of the law.”

“Protecting every American citizen’s right to cast a legitimate vote is a key to the success of our republic,” said William F. Sweeney Jr., Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI’s New York Field Office. “What Mackey allegedly did to interfere with this process – by soliciting voters to cast their ballots via text – amounted to nothing short of vote theft. It is illegal behavior and contributes to the erosion of the public’s trust in our electoral processes. He may have been a powerful social media influencer at the time, but a quick Internet search of his name today will reveal an entirely different story.”

The complaint alleges that in 2016, Mackey established an audience on Twitter with approximately 58,000 followers. A February 2016 analysis by the MIT Media Lab ranked Mackey as the 107th most important influencer of the then-upcoming Election, ranking his account above outlets and individuals such as NBC News (#114), Stephen Colbert (#119) and Newt Gingrich (#141).

As alleged in the complaint, between September 2016 and November 2016, in the lead up to the Nov. 8, 2016, U.S. Presidential Election, Mackey conspired with others to use social media platforms, including Twitter, to disseminate fraudulent messages designed to encourage supporters of one of the presidential candidates (the “Candidate”) to “vote” via text message or social media, a legally invalid method of voting.  (read more)

Think about this folks…. It is demonstrably true the DOJ, FBI, CIA and aggregate United States intelligence apparatus use intentionally fraudulent evidence, created by government officials, to interfere in the 2016 election.  Candidate Donald Trump was put under surveillance and all of his campaign communications and transition team communication was collected -and weaponized, by the United States government to eliminate the candidate….  And no accountability was ever delivered for that action.

Meanwhile, a 31-year-old random Twitter user is charged with “Unlawfully Used Social Media to Deprive Individuals of Their Right to Vote.”

You just cannot make this stuff up.

The United States is quite literally becoming a totalitarian and ideological police state using the same tactics as communist China, Russia, the former communist Soviet Union and East German Stasi, to target subversives for posting memes against their interests.

Rubicon crossed.

Shark jumped.

This is jaw-dropping to contemplate.

Yes, the full weight of the federal government is using this one silly example to send a message to the current American citizenry that any ideological challenges, even words or pictures, against the interests of the federal government are grounds for you to be arrested.

Meanwhile back at FBI headquarters in Washington DC….

JoeBama Administration Homeland Security Issues Terror Threat Alert Warning of Domestic Violent Extremists


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 27, 2021 by Sundance

Comrades, the United States Department of Homeland Security is asking for the public’s help in identifying subversives who carry thoughts against the interests of the JoeBama regime.  In a proclamation today DHS officials have elevated the national security alert against U.S. citizens who may engage in wrong-think.

Each good citizen has a responsibility to support the objectives the new Biden regime and report any friends, neighbors or community members who may need to be placed on the subversive watch list.  The FBI is awaiting your contact and information:

(Link to Bulletin pdf)

According to the command and control authority, the greatest threat against the interests of the new state comes from citizens who are questioning the results of the 2020 election and making inquiries into whether manipulation of ballots took place.  These thoughts are enough to warrant good citizens to report subversive activity.  The warning, and enhanced intervention by the control authority, extends from today through April 30, 2021.

WARNING – The Acting Secretary of Homeland Security has issued a National Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) Bulletin due to a heightened threat environment across the United States, which DHS believes will persist in the weeks following the successful Presidential Inauguration. Information suggests that some ideologically-motivated violent extremists with objections to the exercise of governmental authority and the presidential transition, as well as other perceived grievances fueled by false narratives, could continue to mobilize to incite or commit violence.

  • Throughout 2020, Domestic Violent Extremists (DVEs) targeted individuals with opposing views engaged in First Amendment-protected, non-violent protest activity.  DVEs motivated by a range of issues, including anger over COVID-19 restrictions, the 2020 election results, and police use of force have plotted and on occasion carried out attacks against government facilities.
  • Long-standing racial and ethnic tension—including opposition to immigration—has driven DVE attacks, including a 2019 shooting in El Paso, Texas that killed 23 people.
  • DHS is concerned these same drivers to violence will remain through early 2021 and some DVEs may be emboldened by the January 6, 2021 breach of the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington, D.C. to target elected officials and government facilities.
  • […] We ask the public to report suspicious activity and threats of violence, including online activity,  to local law enforcement, FBI Field Offices, or their local Fusion Center. (read full DHS Alert)

Dear Leader Joe Biden is not happy with non-compliant citizens refusing to adjust their wrongful thinking to benefit the needs of our new state. During these stressful times thought, without regard for collective need, is an indication a citizen may be a subversive. Please report subversives to the Ministry of Homeland Security and Compliance, so they too may be blocked from the benefits of the new union; and encouraged with enhanced support.

Fortunately, and not coincidentally, the newly expanded federal control and surveillance over free-range citizens will be assisted by the COVID-19 rules to govern our new society.  The federal agencies under the Biden administration are on alert to immediately respond to any individual or group who would be subversive to the interests of the state.

Travel restrictions and interstate movement is being monitored thanks to the recently released executive orders of Dear Leader, Chairman JoeBama.   The state will protect you from persons or individuals who may try and retain independent thought.  Additionally, the state allies in the Big Tech community are working earnestly to support the interests of the federal government.  There is no cause for alarm.

If non-compliant behavior continues due to some pre-conceived notion of liberty; or if wrong-thoughts continue to be expressed; it may become necessary for the Federal Ministry of Homeland Security to deduct 200 credits from your social compliance score. Please do not put the Ministry in the position of having to make such decisions. Compliance is in your best interest.

State influence agents and good citizens help to correct wrong-thinking. The state will never force you to share your thoughts; however, if you wish to unlock your social privileges, will you be encouraged to join with the regime and identify other subversives.

The Ministry would never force your compliance comrade. You may choose to remain external to the new system and big tech.  You may also choose not to participate in the employment network, state services, access to civil transit, large entertainment gatherings, parks and restaurants. Nothing is mandated. Relax comrades, the Ministry is sensitive to your previous rights as we initiate our new, safer, society.

The ministry rewards good citizenship status with enhanced credits allowing access to a safe compliant society. A safer society; where odds will always be in their favor.

A rogue citizen could put a compliant society at risk of triggering and/or the elimination of safe-spaces. They may be identified by showing signs of wrong-thought against the interests of the state. Rogue citizens would be subversive to our new society.

Surely all good citizens would agree: there must be an emergency alert of some form identifying the larger audience to these subversive public enemies so our protective state can respond accordingly. The infrastructure is already established. Society is familiar with “Amber Alerts”, this would be a slight modification using Domestic Terror Alerts.

Remember, if you “see something – say something.”

Good luck.

A Technical Study in the Relationships of Solar Flux, Water, Carbon Dioxide and Global Temperatures, December 2020 Data


Carbon Dioxide CO2 is not making “ANY” dangerous changes to the global temperature!

From the attached report on climate change for December 2020 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere? To show this graphically Chart 8 was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by 32.0% from 1958 to December of 2020. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) are almost un-measurable. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 40 % on the left and 4% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.0% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem? The numbers tell us no there isn’t.

The next chart is Chart 8a which is the same as Chart 8 except for the scales which are the same for both CO2 and Temperature. As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for the previous chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2. Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius. This is what the data shows no matter what the reasons are, so I have no idea how the IPCC gets to predict that the world will end in ten or even twenty years.

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed and why using NASA and NOAA data that are used without change to prove that The New Green Deal is not required and any attempt to complete that plan will be a worldwide disaster.

Click on the link below for the full report that you can download.

Protests in Canada – Interesting Approach


Armstrong Economics Blog/Civil Unrest Re-Posted Jan 5, 2021 by Martin Armstrong

Fear of Global Cooling and Falling Iguanas


For this old geologist the change from carbon causing cooling to causing global warming with no change in its place in the periodic table has been fascinating

Re-Posted from the Canada Free Press By Bob Hoye —— Bio and ArchivesDecember 29, 2020

Atweet from the National Weather Service in Miami: “Brrr! Much colder temps expected for Christmas. Falling iguanas are possible”. 

On Christmas Day, the Associated Press reported: “With unexpectedly cold weather in the forecast and pandemic-related curfews. Florida is about to have a Christmas unlike any other in recent memory, and it may involve falling iguanas.” 

It seems that the lizards which are cold-blooded like to sleep in trees. But when it gets unusually cold their body temperature drops enough, they go sort of dormant. And in losing their grip fall from the branches. Without warning, which was part of the weather alert that temps could be the lowest in some 21 years. 

The outstanding climate site WUWT recently ran a list of over 100 climate alarms. These range from dire warnings about another ice age—from using too much fossil fuels—to global warming. For the same reason.

Fear of The World Frying

“The lowest winter temperatures are likely to increase in Northern Europe…The duration of the snow season is very likely to shorten and snow depth is likely to decrease.” – IPCC Climate Change, 2007. 

“All simulations show the trend of less snowfall will continue into the future. And winter sports will no longer be possible.” – Liebnitz Institute for Oceanography, February 17, 2005. 

However, this winter seems to be generating some concerning news stories – about too much snow. And even one about too much cold in Brazil.

“More Record Lows in Brazil” – Coutiniho, November 7, 2020. 

“Snow Chaos – Record Snowfall Causes Mayhem in Austria” – Today, RTZ.Lu, December 9, 2020.

“Delhi, Weather: IMD Records Coldest October in 58 Years” – The Quint, October 31, 2020.

“Record Snowfall in New York State” – WGRZ.com, December 26, 2020.

“Texas Snowfall Almost As Far South As Austin” – NBC, Dallas-Fort Worth, December 28, 2020.

Fear of Another Ice Age

“The world has been chilling sharply…At twice what it would take to put us in an ice Age.” – Earth Day 1970, Kenneth Watt, Ecologist.

“Discharge into the atmosphere by burning fossil fuel will screen out so much of the sun’s rays that the Earth’s average temperature could fall by six degrees. Sustained emissions over five to ten years, could be sufficient to trigger an Ice Age.” – Washington Post, July 9, 1971.

Now, just where did the Washington Post sensationalism come from?

From a paper published by NASA physicists Rasool and Schneider in 1971:

“For aerosols, however, the net effect of increases in density is to reduce the surface temperature of the Earth. If sustained over a period of several years, such a temperature decrease over the whole globe is believed to be sufficient to trigger an ice age.”

In other articles at the time, “aerosols” mainly meant carbon particulates emitted by burning fossil fuels. Indeed, an article published by “New Scientist” in December 2003 quoted James Hansen on increasing amounts of particulate carbon in the atmosphere causing global warming.

Hansen, the “father” of global warming hysteria, was quoted: “It causes a strong warming effect”.

For this old geologist the change from carbon causing cooling to causing global warming with no change in its place in the periodic table has been fascinating.

But to go with the mandated fad, global warming due to whatever reason could eventually diminish fears about falling iguanas.

Australia’s Wind Issues- The Canary in a Coal Mine For Other Countries?


Will any learn from Australia’s experience. Want to make a bet?

Re-Posted from the Canada Free Press By Jack Dini —— Bio and ArchivesDecember 29, 2020

The newest and biggest wind project to date in Australia is to undergo major repairs after faults were found in its commissioning process. Wind turbines at the Coppers Gap wind farm in Australia had to be repaired or replaced before they were even put into service. (1)

The blades of one of the 123 turbines will have to be replaced entirely, while GE Catcon is also going  to replace ‘generators’- referring to the equipment in the nacelle at the top of the wind tower —in a further 50 turbines.  

The issues at Coppers Gap add to a terrible run of problems for some of Australia’s largest wind farms, including the delays to the commissioning of the 336MW Dundonnell wind farm, and the fall of a blade from one of its turbines that stopped all production for several days.



Other major wind farms are also taking much longer to be completed than originally expected. Coopers Gap has been running about one year behind its original schedule.  1

Further, the 420MW Macarthur wind farm delivered a relatively low capacity factor of just 26 percent last year. 

This kind of story is common in many wind farms, and is further proof that they are nothing but horrendously expensive virtue signaling white elephants, reports Andy Rowlands. 

Solar Panels on Households

In Australia, as many as a quarter of solar panels pose a high or severe ‘electrical safety’ risk. Since there are two million households with solar panels, that’s half a million homes sitting under a live problem.  2

A national audit revealed that between 21 and 26 percent of small-scale rooftop solar installations inspected every year since 2011 had been found to have faulty wiring and unsecured panels. Some posed a ‘severe risk’ where wiring was exposed. This required units to be shut down immediately and remediated. A total of 35 licensed installation contractors have been warned they face the possibility of suspension.  

Australian massive daily spikes and collapses in wind and solar power output

Then there are hailstorms. As Joanne Nova reports, here’s a problem coal fired plants don’t need to worry about. “Sydney’s recent ‘catastrophic’ hailstorm resulted in a damage bill said to top $125 million. How much of that damage is to rooftop Solar PV? The last massive hail storm in Sydney was in 1999- but there were hardy any solar panels then.”  3

Before anyone blames climate change, stories about hail the size of eggs have fallen in Sydney in 1929 and other places in 1934. Perhaps building 2 million solar panels on a continent with hail the size of tea cups was not such a good idea. 

Investment Disappearing

Australian massive daily spikes and collapses in wind and solar power output have resulted in new rules about grid access for intermittent wind and solar and, much to the horror of the wind and solar industries, government is actually enforcing them. 4

Dozens of proposed wind farms and large-scale solar projects have been shelved, simply because they can’t be guaranteed of ever being able to deliver a single watt into the grid.

To their credit, it appears that investors are none too keen to hand over their cash to build projects which will never earn a dollar.

 Summary

What about the canary in the coal mine? This is destined to hit California in spades as the insane legislature has made solar panels required for all new construction starting in 2020. Other states probably have similar plans. Will any learn from Australia’s experience. Want to make a bet?

References

  1. Andy Rowlands, “Major problems with Australian wind turbines,” principia-scientific.com, November 18, 2020
  2. Joanne Nova, “Deadly: a quarter of all solar panels pose high or severe risk,” joannenova.com.au,December 20, 2018
  3. Joanne Nova, “Sydney hail storm: just how hail proof are those solar panels?”, joannenov.com.au, December 22, 2020
  4. “Totally choked: Australian wind power investment suffers massive collapse,” stopthesethings.com, August 30, 2020