China & the Future


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong Economics 101

Posted Dec 1, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Hello Marty !!
It looks like the ” China as a parking lot for cash has already begun. FXI going to the moon of late in spite of Xi & Co. cutting off their own economic foot to hide behind their troubles and blame it on the darn protestors to the folly, by golly. One thing I’ve learned over the years from you is that when one (You) declares things are gonna get nuts (from a guy who has seen way more then his share), don’t blink when human events exceed the retardation level of insanity (NOW!)

Thank You for your take on reality and truth, it is setting many free, and these are those who will pick up the pieces once the warring factions beat each other silly and dead.
Very Best Martin, much respect!

GB

REPLY: I know a lot of people do not like our forecast that post-2032 China will emerge as the Financial Capitol of the World replacing the United States. Some argue against me citing the protests and the form of government. Let me state as clearly as I possibly can. DO NOT assume that the current government in China will survive any more than the United States or Europe.

The last major political collapse was the birth of the United States, the French Revolution, and the surrender of the supreme power of the monarch in Britain and elsewhere. It was the fall of the monarchy and the world turned to a Republic.

I would like to see the world turn to reach democracy where We the People actually decide to go to war rather than these corrupt politicians who take bribes.

The fall of the United States is underway. The nation has become polarized and next will come separatist movements just as in the American Civil War which took place 86 years into the cycle (10 * 8.6) from 1775/6.

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All of this talk of a One World Government will end war is absurd. The former President of France stood before the EU Parliament and stated that was the same idea that led to the creation of the EU. One European government would prevent European war. Now they are trying to accomplish this using the United Nations.

Obviously, these people lack any understanding of history. Yes, Rome was one government and it lasted overall for 1,000 years. However, it had many civil wars and it even split into three empires during the 3rd Century.

Perhaps you will recall after the assassination of Julius Caesar in 44BC, Mark Antony and Octavian (Augustus) were together and waged civil war against Brutus and others. Then they too split and waged yet another civil war with Mark Antony and Cleopatra v Octavian and his general Agrippa.

Augustus became the first emperor in 27BC and then the Julio Claudian Dynasty lasted until the death of Nero in 68AD. Then another civil war unfolded. The empire then survived until the assassination of Commodus in 192AD launching yet another civil war that lasted 4.4 years until the rise of Septimius Severus. The death of his son Caracalla in 217AD sparked another battle for the throne for 2 years.

Obviously, one government doe NOT guarantees peace. The utopian nonsense these people are talking about is all a thirst for raw power and even the end of a Republican form of government where we the people will have no right to vote at all. Schwab and his WEF make it sound this is all for your benefit rather than those like Schwab who just want to control everything and everyone.

So when I say China will become the next Financial Capital of the World, make no assumptions. What we think is the solid world of politics as it is today will be no more on a global scale.

New Interview: Energy, Russia/Ukraine, Cryptos, US Civil War, Real Estate Crash


Armstrong Economics Blog/Armstrong in the Media

Posted Nov 26, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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Ukraine & Fake News


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Nov 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Sir, Discussing Ukraine with a friend, I brought up the Belgrade Agreement of 1991. Searching the internet I found one article besides your blog spot that references it. I couldn’t find it. Do you have a copy? Censorship at its finest.

Keep up the good work.

DK

ANSWER: That is really unbelievable. The agreement was reached in 1994 following the collapse of the USSR in 1991. Al Gore was quoted by the Guardian on December 18, 1993: “Ukraine is deceiving us all” and that its nuclear policies were “evil.” As the Guardian reported that the Ukrainian “government and its parliament are already in NATO’s bad books for refusing to make good their promise to abandon nuclear weapons.” It was Ukraine that was threatening the entirety of Eastern Europe for their hatred of Russians dating back to ethnic cleansing from the Nazi era was alive and well. You absolutely cannot trust anything Ukraine would ever agree to. I have warned that when shaking hands with Ukraine, you better forget counting your fingers; you need to make sure you still have your arm. Even the IMF has said that Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe. NOTHING they say can be trusted.

There was a very real deep fear that Ukraine would not only make sure that the cold war would continue, but they also were highly radical and would use nuclear weapons to claim Russia fired first. Ukraine is a country that is not trusted by its neighbors. It is absurd propaganda that they are fighting for Democracy by refusing to allow the Donbas to vote when they absolutely hate the people there. But the West refuses to protect the Donbas also because they are simply Russians. This one-sided view of human rights allows Ukraine to propel the entire world toward World War III.

Every document you look at and the press pre-2022 cast Ukraine as a dangerous country dominated by corruption and engulfed still in this view of ethnic cleansing from the days of Hitler. Because the CIA protected the Ukrainians, they have never been held accountable, and they are now propelling the world into war.

But Adalaide University just published a study on how Ukraine has been using BOTS to manipulate the world’s opinion to support Ukraine and the destruction of Russia. Ukraine has always been disliked by its neighbors because of its support for Hitler. They have long been considered radicals and linked to the Nazis all because Hitler promised to allow them to create their own country.

Ukraine was NEVER a country before the USSR. They were more like the Kurds in Iraq. The borders they are fighting for were merely drawn for administrative purposes by the USSR. They were the ones who pushed for the collapse of the USSR, and they were the ones who immediately began forming an army of 400,000 that scared the hell out of all their neighbors.

By 1992, they were fighting to take over the Russian fleet. Even Dick Cheney was deeply concerned because Ukraine was irresponsible, and their hatred of Russians from the Nazi days surged to the surface. They had more nuclear weapons than China at the time.

James Baker went to negotiate and argued that Ukraine should surrender its nuclear weapons. There were never trusted. Just like the Serbs in Bosnia, the hatred ran very deep. Ukraine took the position that it would only surrender its nuclear weapons if Russia did. Their arguments were simply colored with Russian hatred. They instantly formed an army after 1991, and the Belgrade Agreement was finally reached in 1994, where they agreed to surrender their weapons and remain neutral, with NATO vowing not to invade, and Russia took the same position. Only then did Ukraine agree to surrender its nukes, for they realized that NATO did not trust them and would regard Ukraine as a terrorist state hostile to Europe.

Ukraine then argued it would cost too much to surrender all its nukes. They were the third-largest nuclear power in the world. They then demanded all sorts of guarantees, which they have violated today, but they also extorted money from the United States to disarm their nukes. To cement the deal, Bill Clinton paid Ukraine $175 million to return the nukes to Russia, and Russia, in return, provided the nuclear power rods for Ukraine. Of course, FAKE NEWS seems to be repainting history with the current color of fashion.

The Ukrainian Civil War was started by the UNELECTED government installed by the US & NATO. They immediately sent an army to attack the Russians in the Donbas. They called it an “anti-terrorist operation,” all to pretend they wore white hats. The Ukrainian people did NOT vote for this war. This was instigated by the West. I warned from the outset that our computer back in 2013 pinpointed Ukraine as the place where World War III would begin. It is now being driven to destroy Russia for climate change. This is NOT my personal opinion. Sorry, I wish it were. Then I could be wrong like any person. But this is the computer projecting, and it has been dispassionate.

For the Ukrainians who cheer war, I remind you of the story of Croesus, king of Lydia. He asked the Oracle at Delphi if he would win if he waged war upon Persia. The Oracle replied, “A great empire will be destroyed.” He took that as his victory. He lost, and the collapse of the great empire was his. Ah, how stupidity causes history to repeat. Ukraine will be utterly destroyed. Their view of a nation-state will be but a fleeting moment of greatness. They are destroying all the lives of their own people simply because of their hatred of Russians and their quest for ethnic cleansing. Everyone supporting Ukraine in this hatred will suffer the same fate. Post-2032, we will get to redesign our government from the ground up. Nothing will remain standing like the fallen statutes of Egypt and Rome. Our time will come.

Zelensky was elected on a promise to end corruption, yet, he has stashed more money offshore than any former leader in Ukraine. He promised to end the civil war and seek peace with Russia. He lied to gain power and has done exactly the opposite. This guy puts money before his own country while hiding it offshore, as the Pandora Papers confirm, and refuses to negotiate or honor the Minsk Agreement because fools would stop sending money to his government, and the well would quickly dry up.

The day before Putin came to defend the Donbas, Zelensky stood up and said he would seek to reestablish nuclear weapons. That ended Ukraine’s 1994 agreement to remain neutral. This was like 1962 when Russia put nukes in Cuba.

The people who never question anything about Ukraine are the same people who believed COVID was like the black plague and you would die without a vaccine and a mask. People are so easily manipulated. Unfortunately, if they were not, how would you get people lining up to fight and die on a battlefield when the very BEST they could ever hope for is to return unharmed to a family who is still there?


Bots manipulate public opinion in Russia-Ukraine conflict

 Posted on Sep 8 2022 by Lee Gaskin

A Ukraine street, featuring damage and debris from the Russia invasion.
A view of a store after the Russian bombing of the Ukraine city of Kharkiv on 15 March, 2022. Credit: KMimages.

Researchers from the University of Adelaide have found bots have had a major online presence during the war between Russia and Ukraine.

The researchers analyzed 5,203,764 tweets, retweets, quote tweets, and replies posted to Twitter between February 23, 2022, and March 8, 2022, containing the hashtags
#(I)StandWithPutin, #(I)StandWithRussia, #(I)SupportRussia, #(I)StandWithUkraine, #(I)StandWithZelenskyy and #(I)SupportUkraine.

“We found that between 60 and 80 per cent of tweets using the hashtags we studied came from bot accounts during the first two weeks of the war,” said co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, an MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Adelaide’s School of Mathematical Sciences. “This drove more angst in the online discourse and even impacted discussions surrounding people’s decision to flee or stay in Ukraine.”

“We observed increases in words such as ‘shame,’ ‘terrorist,’ ‘threat,’ and ‘panic.’ Pro-Russian human accounts were having the largest influence on discussions of the war – particularly on accounts which were pro-Ukraine. To our knowledge, this is the first body of published work which addresses online influence operations in the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.”

“In the past, wars have been primarily fought physically, with armies, air force and navy operations being the primary forms of combat. However, social media has created a new environment where public opinion can be manipulated at a very large scale.”Co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Adelaide’s School of Mathematical Sciences.

Fellow co-lead researcher, Bridget Smart, a Masters student in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, added: “Our research identifies that this is happening during the Russia-Ukraine war and provides a statistical framework which quantifies the extent to which this is happening. This work extends and combines existing techniques to quantify how bots are influencing people in the online conversation around the Russia-Ukraine invasion. It opens up avenues for researchers to understand quantitatively how these malicious campaigns operate, and what makes them impactful. This research has identified that social media organisations may need to be better equipped for detecting and handling the use of bots on their networks. It has identified that governments may need to have stricter policies on social media organisations, and that social media can be a vital tool during conflict.”

The paper titled “#IStandWithPutin versus #IStandWithUkraine: The interaction of bots and humans in discussion of the Russia/Ukraine war”  has been published in arXiv and will be presented at The International Conference on Social Informatics in Glasgow from 19-21 October.

Medical Murder in Canada


Armstrong Economics Blog/Canada Re-Posted Nov 17, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Hello.  I wrote a response to one of James Kunstler`s readers who reported that medically assisted suicide is the sixth leading cause of death in Canada, that relates my own experiences working with the disabled in Canada — and living in poverty now in my old age — that this is misreported.  Disabled and/or old people who go into hospital in Canada without family, friends, and lawyer by their sides do not come out alive.  I don`t hesitate to suggest that most of the deaths in the article Too Poor to Continue Living with Dignity — Canadian Eugenics, Nov 15, 2022 are not medically assisted suicide but are probably outright medical murder.

-CG

REPLY: The depths of depravity of government know no bounds. We need to question why patients need lawyers to represent them in a healthcare setting. Medical patients are turning into healthcare victims. We saw it during COVID when hospitals were paid by insurance companies to place patients on ventilators, almost guaranteeing they’d never be released. Without an advocate, the patient/victim is at the mercy of the system.

Justin Trudeau’s dad, Pierre Elliot Trudeau, supported population “cleansing.” The Pierre Elliott Trudeau Foundation provided the initial foundation for the practice by highlighting the scientific achievement of genome sequencing and combining it with the potential for “reducing the burden of disease on themselves and on society as a whole.” If you’re unable to pay taxes, you are of no use to the government.

It does not even matter if you served in the military and fought to protect your country. A Canadian Forces veteran went to Veterans Affairs Canada (VAC) for help with PTSD and a traumatic brain injury. A worker at the VAC offered their unsolicited “medical opinion” – kill yourself. Trudeau feigned concern in this particular incident when it became international news and said only a physician or psychiatrist could tell their patients to kill themselves.

In 2021, 10,064 people were murdered under MAID, representing 3.3% of all deaths in the nation. There was a 32.4% growth in assisted suicides from 2020 to 2021. The most common underlying issue noted was “neurological” at 45.7%. The loss of ability to engage in meaningful activities was the top concern at 86.3%. A shocking 62.3% of individuals who applied for MAID changed their minds and had to plead with the government to stay alive. They have not been keeping track of race or religion in these deaths but plan to collect that data next year, allegedly.

The law will expand this coming March, and everyone is at risk. If the program rose by over 30% in one year without the expansion, I can only imagine how many tens of thousands will be killed by the Canadian government, especially as the economy turns down and people fall on hard times. These changes always start small but become something much larger. It seemed humane to allow someone living in unbearable pain to die, but now death is a treatment option for very treatable ailments. Under this pretense, they could kill the entire homeless population, everyone living in poverty, the mentally compromised, the physically disabled, and even dissenters who the government feels are not fit for society – useless eaters.

UN & ICC Now Guarantee World War III is the Only Solution


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Nov 16, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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I previously reported that my sources inside the ICC would move to charge Putin with war crimes. No head of state has EVER been charged for the actions of those on the battlefield. Russia is not a member of the ICC, and neither is the United States for that matter. This has merely guaranteed that we are heading into World War III. Putin will not attend the G20, for now, he certainly cannot when the West would use the event to stage an arrest of Putin. They have burned all the bridges for negotiation for peace. This leaves the only resolution is all-out war.

Then the United Nations also ensured that we have no choice but to enter World War III. This is the agenda. The United Nations General Assembly has now adopted a resolution calling for Russia to pay war reparations for its invasion of Ukraine. This is to include the billions of dollars in damage and destruction, as well as reparations for the loss of life. This, too, GUARANTEES there will be no resolution, and this entire event was staged to force Putin to move in to protect the Donbas when Ukraine and the West have torn up both the Belgrade and Minsk Agreements because they want to destroy Russia for climate change.

Russia is the largest energy producer. Some 50% of its GDP is all energy. The US blew up the pipeline deliberately to cut off the sale of energy to Europe. What the US did was an act of war. Of course, nobody in the West and certainly not the ICC or the United Nations would EVER rule against the United States. The West is on this climate change mission, and they are desperately trying to destroy Russia using Ukraine as an excuse.

This UN resolution states plainly that the Russian Federation “must bear the legal consequences of all its internationally wrongful acts, including making reparation for injury, including any damage, caused by such acts.” It boldly goes even further, stating that it will establish “an international mechanism for reparation for damage, loss or injury.”

This is the very same action that was taken against Germany following World War I. They imposed draconian reparation payments that impoverished the German people and caused hyperinflation when the government seized 10% of all private wealth to try to make those payments in December 1922 and laid the very foundation for Hitler’s rise.

It was John Maynard Keynes who warned that the reparations against Germany would create disaster. In his “The Economic Consequences of the Peace,” published in December 1919, Keynes predicted that the stiff war reparations and other harsh terms imposed on Germany by the treaty would lead to the financial collapse of the country. That indeed unleashed the hyperinflation in 1923 and led to the German people turning to Hitler, as Keynes warned, because it would have serious economic and political repercussions on Europe as a whole. That set the stage for World War II, and once again, these people are repeating the very mistakes that unleashed World War II all for climate change.

The sheer stupidity of what is taking place among our world leaders is unthinkable. They WANT war to cover up the collapse of Western debt and the entire monetary system, for they can no longer borrow endlessly. That is precisely what Yellen has said by admitting that she wants to buy back long-term debt and swap it with short-term all because there is a growing debt crisis with NO BID on the long-term as we just saw in the British market.

If you cannot negotiate peace — there is ONLY one solution — all-out war. Ukrainian people are fools. The West has been using them as cannon fodder, and they welcome the death of every Ukrainian to justify their war against Russia. They will wage this proxy war against Russia until the last Ukrainian dies. It is a shame that people believe the propaganda all to “Cry Havoc and let slip the dogs of war.”

This is all about climate change. Imposing these types of sanctions is total insanity. It led to the rise of Hitler, and this only confirms my deepest concern that the removal of Putin will lead to the real hardliners seizing power, and the only reparations solution will be to wipe out Ukraine off the face of the map.

There will be no other solution. They have all now confirmed that they do not seek peace. Russia has stated many times it would negotiate and simply demanded what had been agreed upon in the Minsk Agreement. The Donbas has never been part of Ukraine. Their refusal to allow Russians in the Donbas to vote on their own sovereignty and even outlawing their language and religion is not a fight for democracy, as Zelensky claims — this is a proxy war against Russia. Zelensky has committed his country to a hopeless war, and he will flee at the end, given sanctuary and a private jet for being a good boy and betraying his own people.

The West has indeed unleashed the Dogs of War. Cry Havoc, for our pretend elected politicians prefer war to honest economic reform where they would have to admit that borrowing year after year with no intention of ever paying anything back has come to an end. They were willing to sacrifice the lives of so many people all to retain power.