Posted originally on Feb 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Friedrich Merz, the leader of the center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party and perhaps the new chancellor of Deutschland has a message for America – the relationship is over. Many have condemned the Russian people for supporting Vladimir Putin which is precisely what Merz has done regarding Donald Trump and conservative Americans. Merz plans to end Germany’s strong alliance with America and has called for “independence from the USA.”

“I never thought I would have to say something like this on a television program. But after Donald Trump’s statements last week at the latest, it is clear that the Americans, at least this part of the Americans, this administration, are largely indifferent to the fate of Europe,” Merz stated after stating European independence is the utmost priority.  “For me, the absolute priority will be to strengthen Europe as quickly as possible so that we can achieve real independence from the USA step by step.”

His comments are not primarily related to threats of tariffs but rather Trump’s unwillingness to aid Ukraine or attack Russia. Merz insists that Germany must boost its military power, injecting an additional $145 billion into the defense budget annually compared to the $90 billion it currently spends. Now, that $90 billion was only 2% of GDP and Germany remains the top economy of Europe. So certainly it should hold its weight if it no longer wishes to rely on the US military alliance.

If America is unwilling to aid Ukraine or promote the war, then it is no longer in alliance with NATO’s agenda. In fact, European leaders have been questioning America’s position in the alliance since Trump became the GOP candidate. “I am very curious to see how we are heading toward the Nato summit at the end of June,” he said. “Whether we will still be talking about NATO in its current form or whether we will have to establish an independent European defense capability much more quickly,” Merz stated.

Moreover, European leaders now wish to share nuclear capabilities. France’s Macron, who certainly dislikes Trump more than Merz, is offering to defend the continent with France’s nuclear arsenal. France stands alone as the Union’s only major nuclear power after Brexit and currently stockpiles the world’s fourth-largest arsenal behind Russia, the USA, and China. Germany was the main opponent against the idea of a so-called “Eurobomb,” but that has since changed. There have been ongoing discussions of a German-French-British nuclear defense system, but countless obstacles remain.

It is unrealistic to expect so many individual nations to agree. Some EU members have signed the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) to oppose nuclear weapons. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) currently forbids weapons to be transferred to non-nuclear states or organizations such as the European Union. Then, there is the obstacle of ultimate control. Would France have the final say in when and how to use these weapons?

Trump was hoping for a different outcome, praising Merz for his conservative fiscal policies. “Much like the USA, the people of Germany got tired of the no common sense agenda, especially on energy and immigration, that has prevailed for so many years,” Trump posted on Truth Social. But Merz perhaps also dismissed the AfD Party for refusing to support Ukraine. “We have fundamentally different views, for example on foreign policy, on security policy, in many other areas, regarding Europe, the euro, NATO,” he said.

Europe has relied on American defense since the last World War. This sudden pivot will force all members to increase military spending drastically at a time when the Union itself is collapsing due to fiscal mismanagement and a poor foundation from the start. Merz is prioritizing Brussels and NATO and he is NOT going to improve Germany’s economic conditions as a result.