Did Your Friends Vote?


Posted originally on Nov 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Adams John Quincy Vote Principle

The animosity and anger ahead of the November US presidential election will soon turn toward violence and absolute civil unrest. I will not mention the name of the application, but perhaps some of our US readers have received texts or emails urging them to sign up. While it is illegal to see who someone voted for in the election, whether someone voted or not is public record.

“Do some snooping…Check up on your friends, boyfriend, hookup, or whoever you want with this link. Friends don’t let friends skip elections!” the message repeats. The creators are primarily targeting young voters with the illusion that this is some just social cause. In all reality, this program borders on voter intimidation and relies on the public’s persistence to force others to think as they do.

“Data is sourced from publicly available voter registration data provided by the state. Data will be updated as it comes in before and after the Nov 5, 2024 election. Friends don’t let friends forget to vote!” the program states, adding elsewhere, “Your friends, partner, boss, ex and neighbor can all see whether or not you voted. But who you voted for will always be secret.”

This is reminiscent of the hotlines that were established during COVID by state governments. They too relied on neighbors turning against one another. The government has effectively created division among the people.

Party affiliations are public record. People can see if you are currently or once aligned with the Democrats or Republicans. The public can also see if you do not vote at all. I have spoken to several people who said they were once moderate or liberal but plan to vote for Donald Trump. Everyone in that category has also expressed concerns about what their peers will think, and some question whether their relationships with others will deteriorate all due to politics. Not only will civil unrest happen on a mass scale, but we will once again see families and communities torn apart by divisive politics.

The Solution


Posted originally on Nov 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

People are writing to ask if Trump is adopting our solution since he talked about eliminating the income tax, which I was proposing during the ’90s. There is no longer a need for income taxes at the federal level because money is no longer tangible. Taxes were necessary when money was gold and silver because the king needed to get some back to cover his spending. Today, money is no longer tangible; whatever the state collects, it spends more anyway.

Moreover, what also changed was the need to borrow. States again borrowed, and it was less inflationary by taking in coins from circulation. Today, we do not need to borrow, which then requires us to pay interest on money that is not tangible, and we have no intention of paying anything off. The entire financial system will collapse, for this is unsustainable, as interest expenditures this year will exceed military. Within five years, interest expenditures will more than double.

The default occurs when nobody is willing to buy the new debt to keep rolling the old. We are also exceeding the capacity of the banks to be primary dealers, which requires them to buy the debt in hopes of reselling. This is all coming to an end. This will be one topic at this year’s WEC next week.

I believe the hotel is now sold out of rooms. If you want to attend, a Virtual livestream may be all that is left.

The Crisis in Democracy


Posted originally on Oct 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Crisis in Democracy 2024

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference can pull down this report from your portal. The Crisis in Democracy goes through in detail and reviews even Direct Democracy addressing the criticisms and why this end up as our only alternative.

Greek Philosophers R

This report deals in-depth with the Greek Philosophers Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle and their criticism of a Direct Democracy compared to our present state of political disaster. This is the way to the future, and this report dives into this critical issue for our future survival as 2032 approaches.

The Report will be available for non-attendees and Virtual Plus at $300 after the conference.

Crisis in Democracy 2024 Index

Creating World War III


Posted Oct 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Creating_World_War_III

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference can pull down this report from your portal. This report also analyzes Article V of the NATO Treaty that they hope to invoke to compel even Trump to enter the war. This is why NATO is taking the lead to keep their proxy Zelensky to invade Russia truly, and they are scheming to hand him long-range missiles so he can attack Moscow and force Putin to attack anything in NATO.

The Report will be available for non-attendees and Virtual Plus at $500 after the conference.

Creating_World_War_III INDEX

Will the Next Pandemic Come Before World War III?


Posted originally on Oct 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Disease Cycle

The US, Mexico, and Canada are developing a cohesive framework to prepare for the next pandemic. The North American Preparedness for Animal and Human Pandemics Initiative (NAPAHPI) “recognizes that the high degree of interconnectedness among our three countries of our critical infrastructure, supply chains, and societies means that disruptions affecting one country often impact the others.” The three nations are relying on the One Health approach put forth by the World Health Organization to find a way for the world to respond to future pandemics in a cohesive manner, which may include vaccination passports.

The WHO has worked with “Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH) as a One Health Quadripartite” to develop the framework of this approach. They have installed an “expert” health panel to determine the best global course of action moving forward. “Critical areas include food production and distribution, urbanization and infrastructure development, international travel and trade, activities that lead to biodiversity loss and climate change, and those that put increased pressure on the natural resource base,” the WHO claims, meaning this installed panel will have absolute authority over EVERYTHING from food to trade.

vaccinepassport

Part of the One Health Initiative includes vaccine passports. Individual nations created their own versions of vaccine passports, but there has yet to be a global initiative to create one. The Children’s Defense Network, supported by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has been keenly monitoring this issue. Although there is no global database housing vaccination data, the new treaty signed by the US, Canada, and Mexico will bring us one step closer to ensuring neighboring nations are aligned when it comes to the next pandemic – whatever that may be.

“Because this is an initiative from the WHO, I am deeply concerned,” said Nicholas Hulscher, an epidemiologist and fellow at the McCullough Foundation. “They appear to be seeking domain over plants, animals, and humans — globalized, central control over public health policies in all participating countries.”

Misinformation

Hulscher told the Children’s Defense Network that he believes one of the reasons governments are stifling free speech is due to “infodemic,” which the WHO describes as “too much information including false or misleading information in digital and physical environments during a disease outbreak.” We saw this happen countless times during COVID. YouTube continues to censor my interviews when the topic of COVID arises.

None of this is about health, as every reader here knows. The borders were wide open during the pandemic and no one seemed to care. The entire premise of manufactured global pandemics created in a lab is to control the global population. This new agreement puts our freedom of movement at risk.

The HHS has said that the new agreement would look into implementing “border health measures.” The HHS stated: “The implementation of border health measures at airports, seaports, and land borders such as screening of passengers, vaccination requirements, quarantine, and entry restrictions, etc., should be evidence-based and aimed to slow the introduction or spread of a pathogen in the region.”

Socrates has stated that the disease cycle will reach a peak once again in 2026, which is just in time for the war cycle peaking in 2027. Governments will have a year to pacify and control the population before all hell breaks loose. Could the world possibly face a pandemic on the precipice of a world war? We can hope for the best while preparing for the worst. Socrates said the financial affects of what is to come will be felt by 2028.

Capital Flow Analysis


Posted originally on Nov 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Capital_Flow_Analysis

Next week, those attending the World Economic Conference can pull this report from your portal. This is a special report issued on the request of so many institutional clients to explain how I arrived at capital flows analysis back in the 1980s and its application today, as some central banks have adopted this methodology in light of the failure of Keynesian Economics. This is the first time I have outlined this form of analysis in a specialized report. This also deals with the velocity of money and the back-drop behind booms and busts.

This report will be available to non-attendees and non-virtual Attendees for $300 after the conference.

Capital_Flow_Analysis Index

Categories:

US GDP Rose 2.8% in Q3


Posted originally on Oct 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

GDP 3

According to data provided by the Commerce Department, the US economy grew 2.8% during Q3, beneath expectations of a 3.1% increase. GDP has slowed from the 3% posting during Q2.

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rose 3.7% last quarter, marking the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. The US federal government’s spending is factored into growth, albeit another reason why these data points never provide a true indicator of economic growth in the long term. The government managed to increase spending by an astounding 9.7% — 14.9% of which was spent on defense.

Personal consumption expenditures price index increased 1.5%, providing a bit of good news for Fed who looks and causing optimism about a rate drop during the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Core PCE remained at 2.2%.

Consumer spending, one-third of US GDP, has risen, but Americans are spending more on less. The government is not releasing the true figures or painting an accurate picture of the economy. Sure, consumer spending is up, but personal savings fell to 4.8% from 5.2%. Americans are spending more, but they are also falling into debt.

The US remains the safe haven for international capital. We saw a 5.87% increase in capital flows to the US on a monthly basis based on the Global Market Watch, and Socrates predicts it will continue to increase.

The Biased Media Coverage of Harris v Trump


Posted originally on Oct 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

FP Harris no show

The majority of Americans are ready for the election to be over. The constant bombardment of political ads, emails, and texts has been overwhelming. The media has been covering Trump and Harris 24/7 through an extremely biased lens.

The Media Research Center conducted a study that found the evening news coverage of the presidential race has been the most one-sided display of fake journalism in history. Looking back to media coverage from July when Joe Biden was ousted from the race, ABC, CBS, and NBC have provided Kamala Harris with 78% positive coverage. In comparison, these agencies have only provided 15% negative or neutral coverage of Donald Trump.

Babylon BeeTrump_Indicted_For_Inciting_Assassination_Attempt

The study followed 660 stories and noticed that the Big Three networks painted Kamala Harris as a hero in July. After the first Trump vs Harris debate in September, the Big Three revised its propaganda to focus on Donald Trump. Instead of painting Harris as an American hero, the narrative became a constant bombardment of demonizing the Republican nominee who was actually nominated.

Trump Criminal

The demonization of Trump has been stronger than during the 2016 US Presidential Election when the Big Three used 91% of airtime to provide negative air time for Trump as they also painted Hillary Clinton in a negative light 79% of the time. Even during the 2020 race, these media outlets only provided Joe Biden 66% positive coverage compared to 92% coverage on Trump.

The study also found that one-third of Trump’s airtime has covered his personal controversies, with the January 6 incident receiving the most airtime followed by Trump’s claim that the 2020 election was unfair. Harris only faced 5 minutes and 22 seconds of negative personal criticisms.

Trump Dictator Kagan Nuland Washington Post
Media

Immigration, the economy, and abortion are the three main issues that the media has covered. There is no denying that Harris is unprepared and has no solution to these crises. In terms of coverage on policies, the playing field is a bit more even with Trump receiving 63% negative coverage and Kamala 55%. Yet, the media rarely covers the issues Americans face, and this race has been turned into an American idol popularity contest.

Most concerning, 90% of the positive coverage Kamala Harris received simply celebrated her without mentioning her policies or past achievements. The media has pushed the “woman of color” narrative as if America needs a DEI hire to solve its issues.

Trump Flees NYC

If Trump rightfully wins, the mainstream media will have a meltdown. The study only covered three networks but 99% of them are abiding by the same mockingbird media narrative that Trump is Hitler reincarnated. He will continue to be persecuted as long as he is in the public light or simply alive.

Am I Ever Wrong?


Posted originally on Oct 17, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Are you Wrong

QUESTION: Are you ever wrong?

PSH

ANSWER: Personally, we are all wrong on various things in life. To be a trader, you only learn from your mistakes – not your victories. I try to separate what is my OPINION from the forecasts by the computer. We have clients around the world. We have probably been the largest adviser ever. But that is not because of my opinion – that is Socrates. I have often stated I try my best to defeat my own computer – I am the one who ends up wrong.

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

There is a new film coming out the sequel to the Forecaster. I was asked in this film, how does it “feel” to live through your own forecasts. My job is to relay what the computer is forecasting. This is not my opinion. I stood up at our 2011 World Economic Conference and warned that the War Cycle would turn up in 2014. On December 3rd, 2013, I posted that the computer had targeted Ukraine where war would begin.

CUGUSA Y Chart Array 1 1 23

A number of people do not like the forecast that China would replace the United States on the economic battlefield. Sorry, but my job is to present the UNBIASED projections of the computer – not my personal opinion or desire. I have grandkids. I hate to see the future we are leaving behind for our children. This is the data from the Federal Reserve. The differential peak in GDP (US-China GDP) occurred in 2006 with a premium of $1.3 trillion.  Even since then, China has been growing in leaps and bounds, and it may even surpass the US in the 2025/2026 period and reach total displacement by 2032.

China on the Rise

The Ukraine war has triggered a completely new dynamic in the relationship between these great powers with respect to this rivalry. What is being overlooked here is that China, and not Russia, is capable of replacing the United States as the leading world economic and military power, as I warned several years ago, back in 2011 and 2018. Our model projected that China would eventually replace the United States as the leading economic power – NOT me personally.

2020 US Combined Polls Politics

These are NOT forecasts that I personally desire, nor do they originate in my mind. Even look at the data on Republicans vs. Democrats. This is the perspective of the combined total seats of each party. The Democrats are the modern-day Federalists. They see themselves imposing their views upon the entire nation. The Federalists collapsed by 1824. The American people reject this political philosophy, and this is the trend that will lead to separation as it ALWAYS does whenever any government attempts to impose a dictatorial one-size-fits-all policy.

So please understand. I am no more infallible than other humans. My job is to relay the computer forecasts. I try hard to separate my opinion from that of Socrates. I do not want to see war. I know I cannot alter the cycle. The best I can do by screaming loudly is to reduce the amplitude perhaps. I am 75 years old. I get to leave this chaos and watch from above. I am trying to leave behind what I had bumped into in the middle of my life. What I do, I do not do for money. I have enough to finish my life. At the WEC this year, I will make an important announcement that I hope will help the generations that follow.

Interview: They Need WAR


Posted originally on Aug 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Click here or on the video above to watch my latest interview with Pietro Messina of South Front broadcasting from Palermo, Sicily