Trump’s decision to send the National Guard into Washington, D.C., will be defended as a matter of national security. History teaches us this is not about protecting the people at all. The National Guard was deployed to protect the political class from the people.
The United States is now following the same path we have seen throughout history. In ancient Rome, once the Praetorian Guard was stationed in the city to guard the emperor, it became the power behind the throne. Their loyalty was to themselves and the politicians in control at the moment. The guard was not sent to protect the Republic, and certainly not the people. By the time Commodus was in power, the Guard was deciding who would rule, and the Senate’s role was ceremonial at best.
The same predicament happened in America’s short history. There was genuine fear in late 1860 and early 1861 that secessionist militias or Confederate sympathizers might attack Washington, capture federal buildings, or even seize Lincoln before his inauguration. At the start of 1861, Federal troops were quietly moved into the city. Army units from various forts were sent to guard the Capitol building, the White House, and key bridges into the city. Lincoln was inaugurated in March of 1861, but the new administration took power under the protection of a heavily militarized capital. Various Southern states began declaring secession following the election of November 1860, as they refused to accept Lincoln as their leader. The Battle of Fort Sumter that April took place a month after Lincoln’s inauguration, which acted as the catalyst to the Civil War.
We have reached a point where neither side of the political aisle sees the other as a legitimate rival. They see their opponents as an existential threat. That goes beyond the politicians themselves and extends to their supporters. Governors are refusing to comply with the Trump Administration and tensions have been boiling since Trump won re-election.
The Economic Confidence Model has been warning about this very period. We are in the decline wave, moving toward the next major turning point in 2028.05 before 2032 when we will see the crash and burn. Between now and then, you will see authoritarian measures increase. The plan to “temporarily” deploy troops to the nation’s capital will morph into permanent security zones and checkpoints. This is precisely how liberty erodes, not with a single decree, but with a steady normalization of emergency powers.
Historically, militarizing a capital is interpreted by foreign capital as a sign of internal instability. The US government fears its citizens, and the leaders believe they need added layers of protection. Capital has little room to go elsewhere at this time. In the short term, the US may still attract capital fleeing the chaos in Europe. Still, over the longer term, capital will begin looking for safer harbors in tangible assets and other regions less prone to political meltdown.
Interestingly, the move comes before the model’s target date of August 18 and Trump’s decision to meet Vladimir Putin in Alaska. People are still outraged over the Epstein list that Trump failed to release. They are enraged that Congress, on both sides of the aisle, went to visit Israel during recess. America’s neutrality in the Ukraine-Russian conflict is at risk, and powerful people on both sides are carefully watching Trump’s next move.
The homeless crisis is a false flag and a lackluster excuse. The data shows that homelessness in Washington, D.C., decreased by 9% YoY. Violent crimes have declined 26% over the same period. Sure, homelessness and crime have been rampant across D.C. and all American cities, but why is it suddenly of paramount concern to the point of deploying the National Guard? The troops have been called in to protect the political elite in power ahead of what’s to come.
Militarizing your own capital is a confession of weakness. And once you’ve crossed that Rubicon, there is no turning back without a political reset.
Donald Trump deployed hundreds of National Guard troops to Washington. D.C., as the homeless epidemic in the US worsens. The news comes a week after Trump ordered federal officers from the U.S. Park Police, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), as well as divisions of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to patrol the capital to control crime.
“I’m going to make our Capital safer and more beautiful than it ever was before. The Homeless have to move out, IMMEDIATELY. We will give you places to stay, but FAR from the Capital. The Criminals, you don’t have to move out. We’re going to put you in jail where you belong. It’s all going to happen very fast, just like the Border. We went from millions pouring in, to ZERO in the last few months. This will be easier — Be prepared! There will be no ‘MR. NICE GUY.’ We want our Capital BACK. Thank you for your attention to this matter!” Trump declared on Truth Social before his media announcement.
Are the unhoused dangerous? Is Trump acting to protect national security or acting as a dictator? The most recent census states that 771,700 people experience homelessness on any given night across the nation. In fact, 23 out of every 10,000 Americans are unhoused, with figures rising substantially in the past three years.
Data indicates that 70% of homeless people in the US have a criminal history. Although data is quite challenging to gather, most estimates believe 65% of homeless individuals used illegal drugs at some point, while one-third admit to active drug addiction. Around half (48%) suffer from mental health issues. Veterans compose around 13% of America’s homeless population, although this figure has significantly declined in the past decade. Unfortunately, homeless individuals may not have the capacity to seek out help, whether it’s due to mental health or drug-related issues.
Acquiring a job without an address or paperwork is one thing, but obtaining a job–let alone a well-paying job–with a criminal record in America is complex. People will take what employment they can find, and those jobs do not pay enough for the essentials.
Many studies cite a lack of affordable housing as one of the main reasons for homelessness. The National Low Income Housing Coalition found that 74% of extremely low-income renters pay more than half their income in rent. Yet, this has become a growing trend in America. The 2023 census found that over a quarter (26.4%) of Americans paid over half their income on rent, while 49.7% pay over 30% of their income on rent, and costs have only risen since the last census.
Charles Schwab conducted a study on the share of Americans who reported lacking enough savings to cover unexpected expenses or the loss of income for at least one month. The study concluded that an astounding 59% of Americans are one missed paycheck away from homelessness. That is a broad statement as it assumes everyone in the study had no support system or ability to access resources. The point of the matter is that there is a rising trend of financial insecurity in America as the personal debt crisis deepens. Homeless rates of this nature are indicative of a failing system rather than mere personal failures.
Yes, resources are available. The Veterans Affairs office has specific services dedicated to homeless veterans and spends $3.2 billion annually on these programs. HUD homeless assistance provides state, local, and nonprofit funding for temporary shelter. There is also a tenant-based rental assistance program through HUD, as the agency spends about $4.7 billion per year on grants. FEMA offers social services and shelter through the McKinney-Vento Act. The Treasury funds the Emergency Rental Assistance Program (ERA), spending billions on temporary housing payments for those unhoused or at risk of eviction. HHS funds the Projects for Assistance in Transition from Homelessness (PATH) program for the same demographic. Churches and non-profits also offer services. Federal funding for homeless programs averages around $13 to $15 billion annually, and yet, the population continues to grow. The current options for support are insufficient, and a stagnant economy with rising rates of unemployment only amplifies the crisis.
Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the United States is expected to grow by 3.8%, rising from roughly 331 million in 2020 to an estimated 343 to 347 million in 2025. At the current rate, America’s homeless population is expected to grow to 349 million by 2030. State and federal governments continue to throw money at the crisis without results.
At the time of this writing, it remains unclear where the National Guard plans to relocate the homeless living in the nation’s capital, or what public resources will be used for these efforts. This is a very serious matter that has never been adequately addressed. Relocation efforts are merely a band-aid rather than a solution to this growing epidemic sweeping our nation’s cities.
Of course, this move is likely not about the homeless population at all. We are witnessing the militarization of D.C. Historically, governments surround themselves with troops when they no longer trust the people. It’s the same cycle we’ve seen in ancient Rome when the Praetorian Guard began to function less as protectors of the empire and more as political enforcers. The symbolism is critical–once you militarize your own capital, you are crossing the Rubicon toward authoritarianism.
In a drastic reversal of Biden-era policies, the Trump Administration has declared that it will no longer fund the Ukrainian war–directly. However, America is still keen on profiting from the war through the vast military-industrial complex, as Vice President J.D. Vance alluded to in a recent interview. The war will NOT be profitable for America or anyone else in the end, but for now, they are seeking opportunities.
Trump-Vance campaigned on a promise to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. They assured the American public that the war in Europe would not be America’s responsibility. Ending direct aid to Ukraine was merely a first step.
“What we said to the Europeans is simply, first of all, this is in your neck of the woods. This is in your back door,” Vance told reporters. “You guys have got to step up and take a bigger role in this thing. And if you care so much about this conflict, you should be willing to play a more direct and a more substantial way in funding this war yourself, I think the president and I certainly think that America, we’re done with the funding of the Ukraine war business.”
Trump had the same line of thinking ahead of the conflict when he urged NATO members to increase their spending during his first term. The new administration was firm on ending funding to Ukraine, but recently pivoted when Europe declared it would no longer purchase American-manufactured military equipment.
Trump began speaking harshly against Russia and alluded to a new willingness to support Ukraine. Rutte and all the neocons cheered, eagerly signing deals to arm Ukraine through America’s strong military manufacturing power. The ink on the contracts is still drying. Europe has already promised to provide Ukraine with American-manufactured weapons. Many of the neocons were reluctant to purchase from America as they did not believe Trump’s momentary rouse that he fully supported Zelensky. And now, the Trump-Vance team has adjusted their position to say that they will not fully support Ukraine or the neocons.
“Americans, I think, are sick of continuing to send their money, their tax dollars, to this particular conflict. But if the Europeans want to step up and actually buy the weapons from American producers, we’re OK with that. But we’re not going to fund it ourselves anymore,” Vance told reporters at Fox News.
The world is awaiting the Trump-Putin meeting on Friday. Trump suggested that a peace deal could include “some swapping of territories,” as that is the only strategy available to end the war. Merz, Macron, Starmer, Meloni, and others issued a joint statement in response, declaring that “the path to peace in Ukraine cannot be decided without Ukraine”. They insist that any deal must include security guarantees that let Ukraine defend its “sovereignty and territorial integrity.” Zelensky also declared that “Ukrainians will not give their land to the occupier.”
Putin expressed his terms for peace long ago. The US will profit from the war while remaining neutral. Russia is expected to permit the US to export weapons to its enemies, entirely contradictory to US policy, as the US is quick to sanction anyone who even conducts non-military related trade with nations it dislikes. Everyone knows that Friday will not bring about true peace since Ukraine and Europe have become the aggressors whose only drive is a fight to the death.
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