CNN v Trump


COMMENT: It is really getting so bad with CNN they should just be shut down for they are no longer a news organization but a political propaganda machine. They paint Trump as getting a bad deal with North Korea and they then tried to make him look like an idiot saying to Trudeau that Canada was involved in the War of 1812. Am I wrong, but Canada was still British in 1812 and indeed declared war on the United States?

WH

ANSWER: Yes, you are correct. Canada was not an independent nation until the Constitution Act officially proclaimed the Canadian Confederation on July 1, 1867. It was initially with only four provinces: Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick. Canada actually declared war on the USA before Britain and it is assumed that they simply had advanced notice. CNN tried to make it seem as if the USA invaded Canada first as if this began the War of 1812. They omit the fact that the British restricted US trade with France and went as far as seizing Americans and forcing them to man ships for the British as if the USA was not even a country.

The United States suffered several very costly defeats at the hands of British, Canadian, and Native American troops who Canada hired. So yes, the “Canadians” who were really British back then,  were part of the War of 1812 and that included the capture and burning of the nation’s capital, Washington, D.C., in August 1814. The Americans were able to repel the British invasions in New York, Baltimore, and New Orleans. The British/Canadians made a good attempt to conquer the United States. Eventually, there was the Treaty of Ghent on February 17, 1815, which ended the war. That still did not resolve all the issues and the British were seeking revenge for the American Revolution. Therefore, the War of 1812 has often been called the “second war of independence” and CNN deliberately misrepresented the facts once again to stab Trump in the back.

Italy will No Longer Recuse Migrant Ships from Libya


Italy will no longer rescue immigrants sailing from Libya. They have withdrawn their Italian Coast Guard and instructed captains of vessels that from now on, ships in the area off Libya should apply for help to the Libyan Coast Guard. Up to now, the Italian Coast Guard has played an important role in coordinating refugee rescue operations outside its own waters. According to Maritime Law, the coordinator of a rescue operation must provide the refugees with a safe haven. Italy will no longer provide that status off the coast of a foreign country. Ital began recusing ships back in 2015. Under Maritime Law, once they did that, they were obligated to give them shelter. Here back in 2015, they recused 1,000 but most of these are just men, not families with women and children.

30 Years of Global Warming Forecasts all Failed


 

The Wall Street Journal just published a review of the Global Warming Forecasts for the past 30 years. They have not even come close to the scenarios they put forth back in 1988. On June 23, 1988, the then NASA scientist James E. Hansen who helped to start all this nonsense testified before the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. He stated that he expressed had a “high degree of confidence” in “a cause-and-effect relationship between the claimed CO2 induced “greenhouse effect and observed warming.” That is how government characterizes something when they are guessing – “high degree of confidence” which was the same words used to invade Iraq who had weapons of mass destruction. He later came out and said: “Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction.” (August 25, 2002). The CIA Director testified before Congress and said: “We said in the estimate with high confidence that Iraq had them.” see Transcript Washington Post). Why does anyone EVER believe those in government? They cannot even forecast GDP accurately when they fudge the numbers.

 

Here is Hansen’s forecast. The dark red overlay is actual surface temperatures reported and there is even a controversy surrounding them that they have been constantly skewed higher to not look like complete idiots.  Even the models devised by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, are at least twice the actual temperature by now even with fudged numbers. So why are all these model so exaggerated?

These models are completely VOID of cyclical models and they do not even understand that this is a cycle. They are constructed with same idiotic bases that whatever trend is in motion will remain in motion. The Dow Jones Industrials closed 1932 at 60.26 and 1933 at 98.67. That was a 63.7% gain year over year. By assuming that trend will remain in motion, which was his dire forecast, the Dow would have reach 96,433,885,025.00 by 1975. That makes 50,000 look cheap.

Even averaging a 5-year advance VOID of understanding cycles, fails to provide a valid forecast ever. If I take the closing in the Dow of 2009 and the closing of 2014, the average advance was 1479 points per year. Now take the 2014 closing of 17823.07, that gives me 25,218.09. That is fine because we have been in a bull market. We all know the cycle will change. That is what is wrong with the global warming forecasts.

What actually happened, they got $1 billion for research by scaring the HELL out of everyone. I wonder what kind of chart I should make to get $1 billion handed to me from Congress with no performance requirements. What a deal

Fake News – Little Girl Was Never Taken From Her Mother


 

It turns out that the Fake News has managed to use a picture of little Hondorus girl and told the world she was taken from her mother. The girl’s father has come out and made it clear that she was NEVER taken from her mother and she is with her mother in the immigration center in McAllen, Texas where they have applied for asylum. The girl’s confirmed father, Denis Valera, told Reuters: “My daughter has become a symbol of the … separation of children at the U.S. border. She may have even touched President Trump’s heart.”  The Honduran deputy foreign minister Nelly Jerez confirmed Valera’s version of events.

So once again we have clear evidence of Fake News simply desperate to discredit Trump at every possible step. The United States is slipping into a state of two countries. The left simply hates the right and the right cannot understand the left. This is the very condition that is the forerunner of a civil war. It really does not matter that the truth comes out about this little girl. People believe what they want to believe which is self-evidence of how rapidly the media will jump on anything to create dissent, hatred, and division with the United States. They are doing an excellent job at creating disunity and this will not end well. The War Cycle internally within the USA turned up beginning in 2014 and moves intensely into 2024-2025.

Books We Recommend


QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong,
I stumbled across you a few years ago and found your work refreshingly insightful and the joined the subscription service for the private blog. Though I am just your average middle-class citizen, I am glad that I now have a true picture of what the future holds while many of the sheep walk blindly into the future. Because of your willingness to share I have a general understanding of what is to come and will try to prepare as best as possible. My question is, Is there a book on a period of history that mimics what is going to happen over the next 21 years where I could maybe grab more insight into how the average person can best to position themselves so as not be left out in the cold? Are there any fictional works that nail the future so the average person knows what to do with savings accounts, 401K’s, mortgages, etc in the coming years? Lastly is there the possibility that you would write a special report that we could buy that would be the blueprint for the average American to follow over the next 21 years? I would sure buy it! Thank you for sharing your knowledge and well wishes for many years to come.
Sincerely,
AG

ANSWER: There is no single book that I can recommend. I am trying to find the time to put one together for the sources are many. You can read Herbert Hoover’s Memoirs and I would recommend reading 1931. The problem has been that most of the books have been propaganda and have been written to support a predetermined conclusion. Most of my sources have been contemporary, gathering the facts from many sources and putting it all together. Nonetheless, we have provided a number of books you can look at digitally. It has been a lot of work and my time is so tight. I am trying to get this together soon.

Italy & Refugee Crisis


The Refugee Crisis in Europe is tearing it apart and all of this began with a unilateral decision by Merkel when her polls declined because of her tough policy on Greece. The refusal to compensate Italy and to demand they take in refugees but denies them the right to send them north proves the very point that I have been getting from Italy behind the curtain – they feel they are an occupied country.

Italy said it will seize two migrant rescue ships in the Mediterranean, as this refugee policy of the EU continues to worsen. We are up against politicians in Brussels and Germany who simply refuse to admit that they made serious mistakes. They fear that admitting that will ruin their personal careers so the entire European Union must suffer. Now the two German NGO ships carrying refugees who are really economic migrants looking for a free lunch “will be seized” to determine their legal status according to Italy.

The response from Italy comes on the heels of the insensitive remarks of French President Emmanuel Macron who called this the “leprosy” of anti-EU feeling, which is only angering the Italian populist government and the people. This is where this feeling that is related to me is building that they have NO SAY in the fate of their own country and they have simply become an occupied country as if they lost the war and Germany won.

Italy sparked the fresh round of discontent earlier this month when it refused to take in the Aquarius refugee ship, which was carrying 630 migrants rescued off the coast of North Africa. Malta also refused to accept the ship and so it went off to Spain. If Spain refuses, Greece, and Portugal, then perhaps the ships will go beyond the Pillars of Hercules and sail to France and Belgium so Brussels can be inundated itself. Perhaps then the policy will change.

2032 – How Hard Do We Fall?


 

QUESTION: Hi Martin,

First, I’d like to offer my condolences on your mother’s passing. It feels to me that you must take great satisfaction in the fact that she must have been very proud of your accomplishments, and what you are trying to do for the average person. To me, that is the ultimate goal of a child; in thanking their parents for everything they have done.

Concerning the blog entry of “Crash & Burn & The Sixth Wave”, you write that it all depends upon if we begin the process in 2021. My interpretation – having followed you for years now – is that the people must rise up and push back against higher taxation, and demand reform and/or it could hinge on the Euro breaking apart, which provides the path to follow for the rest of us.

I believe you meant that if the people just acquiesce and do nothing – like in 2008, then those in power continue to run the economy for their benefit, causing the social fabric to continue to be torn apart between 2021-2032, (which means continued record low birth rates, low productivity, record low levels of capex, record suicide rates, etc) until it finally crumbles by 2032, leading to civil unrest. Have I got this right?

Thanks again for everything that you do.

Danny

ANSWER: We have to understand that this will be the third such sequence of the Sixth Wave. At the end of the first sequence, we have civilization going into a Dark Age. That also coincided with the energy output of the sun declining and the massive volcanic eruption of Thera (Santorini), which ended the Minoan culture. That is when Mycenae invaded as well as the conquest of Troy. The last wave peaked in 175.35 AD, and after that we have the political unrest and collapse into 268 AD. I for one have a personal hope that we can avoid that outcome. In both cases, this is when the energy output of the sun dropped into a cold period where the Greeks became the sea people and migrated back to Africa. The second sequence saw the invasion of the barbarians as they moved south and overthrew the Roman Empire. The wall around Rome was not built until 270 AD. If we keep sticking our finger in a light socket and getting zapped, are we unable to learn from experience? The question in my mind is how hard will we land?

This is the cycle, it is NOT my “opinion” and I would prefer to point it out and say we can change the outcome if we understand the causes. There is no stopping the cycle. All I believe we are capable of doing is changing the degree of volatility. This is clearly the end of the West as a world economic power. The financial capital of the world will be shifting to China and Asia after 2032.

Even if we look at the hatred poured on Trump, this is indicative of how civilization collapses. It does not matter if you agree or disagree with Trump. This sort of hatred and the personal attacks, especially led by CNN, is so destructive I fear what comes AFTER Trump. There is absolutely NO POSSIBLE WAY that anyone who would really try to help the situation will come to power. CNN has guaranteed that nobody in the right mind would dare to be president. The only person will be a career politician who will NEVER look at the cycle. Instead, they will fill their pockets before they leave office. CNN loved Hillary. The Clintons stole a couch when they left the White House and had to return it. When you go to a hotel you might take all the soaps, but you do not leave with the bed.

If we do not realize what is happening, then yes, our own complacency will be our doom

Coming Crisis: Emerging Market Debt


QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Just to clarify, a continued rate hike in dollars will send Emerging Market debt into chaos and possibly default. Is this both public and private?

Thank you.

You are a voice in the wilderness

PK

ANSWER: Oh yes. Both public and private emerging market debt raised money in dollars. A 2% increase in interest rates could spark a sharp rise in the proportion of emerging market corporate debt issues at risk of default. This is true especially in Brazil, Turkey, and Indi