The GENIUS Act & Stable Coins – A Repeat of 1863? Debt Crisis?


Posted originally on Jul 21, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Stablecoin
1 Steven Mnuchin signature

The era of stablecoin issuance in the United States and U.S. Senator Bill Hagerty’s GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins) may have the BITCOIN world cheering that this is somehow a validation of Cryptocurrency. The GENIUS Act has been passing with bipartisan support, and people should ask WHY? It is a serious, detailed, and targeted law that understands what stablecoins are and what they offer to the perpetual debt machine, enabling the debt to continue rolling forward in this modern debt-based economy. Many see this as a backdoor for the creation of central bank digital currency and the elimination of paper money, which will enable the government to surveil every transaction for the sake of taxation.\

At its very heart, the GENIUS Act establishes that only licensed and supervised entities can issue payment stablecoins in the United States. These are digital assets redeemable for U.S. dollars at par value, intended for payments and settlements. Therein lies the motive. Under this law, only three types of issuers are permitted:

  • (1) subsidiaries of insured banks and credit unions,
  • (2) specially chartered nonbank firms approved at the federal level, and
  • (3) entities regulated by states whose regimes are certified by the U.S. Treasury as substantially similar to federal standards.

On one level, this is the same scheme as COVID. The First Amendment prohibits the government from interfering in free speech – not YouTube, Facebook, or anyone else the government can call to tell them to restrict your speech. Here, the Fed is not issuing the stablecoins; instead, they are issued privately, but backed by US Treasury securities.

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

Thanks to the Biden Administration that the Neocons ran, they destroyed the world economy by imposing sanctions on Russia for defending Russians in the Donbas that were supposed to have a right to vote on separation under the Minish Agreement that former Chancellor Merkel of Germany later admitted they were buying time for Ukraine to build a NATO trained army to start World War III with Russia.

Victoria_Nuland_ Pyatt

The Neocons removed Russia from Swift, coming to the aid of the Donbas, after Victoria Nuland installed an unelected government in Ukraine and instructed them to start the civil war and kill all the Russians in the Donbas.

BRICS Currency

So what does this have to do with the GENIUS ACT? Imposing the sanction on Russia created BRICS, which then threatened to do the same to China if they helped defend Russia. More and more countries realized that they were being dictated to by the Neocons running the Biden Administration. China had held 10% of US debt and began dumping. They would have to be really stupid to hold any US debt when the Neocons only want war and do not consider what they are doing to the world economy.

The GENIUS ACT = Stablecoins and private organizations will issue them and must back them with US Treasuries, as the Neocons, in their quest for World War III, are destroying the global debt markets. The GENIUS ACT aims to replace China et al., who used to buy US debt, all because these Neocons want World War III.

Funny How History Repeats!

1863 National Currency

The very same concept of how to sell US debt was the solution in 1863. U.S.-issued National Bank Notes began issuing in 1863 as part of the National Banking Act. Banks could issue currency against their purchases of US debt to fund the Civil War. These National Bank Notes were backed by government bonds. Here’s why and how it worked:

  1. To Finance the Civil War
    • The U.S. government needed a stable way to fund the Union’s war efforts. By requiring banks to purchase government bonds to back their currency, the Treasury raised money for the war.
  2. To Create a Uniform National Currency
    • Before 1863, banks issued their own notes (state banknotes), leading to widespread counterfeiting and instability.
    • The National Banking Acts (1863 & 1864) aimed to replace these with standardized National Bank Notes issued by federally chartered banks.
  3. To Strengthen Government Credit
    • By tying banknote issuance to U.S. bonds, the government ensured demand for its debt, stabilizing its finances.
Stabel Coin Dollars

Rob Nelson, co-founder of the Bitcoin Policy Institute, argued that Bitcoin’s distinct position was as a valuable store and, increasingly, a functional currency for several countries. He raised a compelling argument that sucked in a lot of people:

“We have a true store of value and for many countries, it’s becoming a currency, a usable currency. We have something different, we have something special.”

Assets v Money

As I have said, BITCOIN is no more a store of wealth than the dollar, euro, gold, or silver. Everything has a cycle, and everything rises in price and then falls. It does not matter what century we look at, if you do not understand that all tangible assets are on one side of the scale and whatever money is has always been on the opposite side.

Gold Fluctuated
Taylor Bayard 1825 %E2%80%93 1878

When gold is money, it falls in purchasing power just like paper dollars during waves of inflation. Even under a gold standard, there were periods of inflation and deflation. Read the history of the California Gold Rush. During the 1849 Gold Rush in California, the journalist for the New York Tribune, Bayard Taylor (1825-1878), arrived in San Francisco by ship during the summer of 1849. He was shocked at what he encountered and did not think that anyone would even believe what he was going to write. His dispatches about the gold rush economy in California stunned many and helped to create the 1849 Gold Rush.

The average wage for a laborer in New York was about one or two dollars a day. In California, individual hotel rooms were rented to professional gamblers for upwards of $10,000 a month, which is the equivalent of about $300,000 today. The degree of inflation in terms of gold was astounding and lacks comparison in modern times. There was so much gold that the value of goods rose even though they did not in New York. The inflation phenomenon was local – akin to the Tulip Bubble.

1851 50 Gold California

Gold became so common; they were even striking $50 gold coins in California when $20 was the highest denomination elsewhere and $1-dollar coins down to 25 cents all in gold. Eventually, there were $1 gold coins minted in the United States for general circulation throughout the USA. Indeed, Taylor wrote:

“[One] citizen of San Francisco died insolvent to the amount of forty-one thousand dollars the previous autumn. His administrators were delayed in settling his affairs and his real estate advanced so rapidly in value meantime that after his debts were paid, his heirs had a yearly income of $40,000 [$1.2 million today].

“These facts were indubitably attested; everyone believed them, yet hearing them talked of daily, as matters of course, one at first could not help feeling as if he had been eating ‘of the insane root.’”

Mesopotamia 3300BC First Money

It does NOT matter what is money. It will always rise and fall as measured against tangible assets as it has done since Babylonian times. In fact, the very first attempt to control inflation, as the central banks are doing right now, was the wage and price controls put in place by the legal codes of the Assyrians and Babylonians. The first money was no different than paper dollars – it was representative.

Athens Owl 449 413BC Egyptian Imitation

The coinage of the dominant economy was always the international medium of exchange. Ancient Egypt never issued coins. They imitated Athenian Owls in order to participate in international trade. The Athenian Owls were like the dollar today – the effective reserve currency.

1878 US Two Tier Monetary System

The US had two silver dollars of different weights, which facilitated trade with China, as China had a different silver standard than the West.

SeptimusSeverus India Imitation gold aureus

Roman coins have been discovered even in Japan. Trade with India for spices was extensive in the ancient world. Here is an imitation of a Roman gold aureus issued in India, and note that the weight was even heavier than the official Roman standard.

Minoan Ingot Sheep Skin

The notion that simply because coins were made of gold or silver meant they were a store of wealth is laughable when you understand monetary history. The Bronze Age was based on the intrinsic value of bronze for its utility value, where it could be fashioned into a sword or a plow. The first ingots of the Minoans were shaped as sheppskil, for they were relaying that they too were at first representative of the previous medium of exchange. When precious metal became a medium of exchange, silver was more valuable than gold (I will do a report on that).

Valerian I AU Double Aureus bino and aureus
Financial Panic of 260AD

When the Persians captured Valerian I (253-260AD) and Rome could not rescue him, the confidence in the Empire began to collapse. Banks were even suddenly skeptical about accepting Roman coins. Would they still be worth anything, considering they were valued above their actual metal content?

A document from Egypt has survived illustrating the financial crisis that was unleashed. It is from Aurelius Ptolemaeus who is the strategus of the Oxyrhynchitenome. The public officials gathered and accused the bankers of closing their doors on account of their unwillingness to accept the divine coins of the Emperors. It became necessary that an order had to be issued to all the owners of the banks directing them to open and accept and exchange all coins except the absolutely spurious and counterfeit. It was also directed that all who engaged in business transactions who refused to comply would be penalized. (POxy 1411 260AD, cited by Burnett 1987: p104)

cowrie 4

In China, money was cowrie shells. In Africa, money was cattle, which was even the case at first in other parts of the West. The first emergence of silver was typically in the form of wire, and even the Bible discusses weighing silver to pay for a transaction.

MONEY Has always been Representative

It Has Never Been a Store of Wealth, for it has fluctuated

With the Business Cycle.

GENIUS Stablecoins will be representative of US Debt

A New Market thanks to the Neocons Destroying the Global Economy

BBC on Global Warming


Posted originally on Jul 20, 2025 by Martin Armstrong   

Armstrong on Greg Hunter UAWatchdog.COM


Posted originally on Jul 20, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Interview: An Independent Alberta Matters


Posted originally on Jul 20, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Interview: NATO Plans to Send 250K Troops Into Russia; WW3 is Coming


Posted originally on Jul 19, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Will the EU last beyond 2026?


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong   

2025_07_18_21_28_22_Merz_says_Ukraine_will_receive_long_range_missile_systems_very_soon_

Merz is putting all of Germany in the crosshairs. His thirst for war with Russia makes him unfit to be in charge of parking meters for the government. Ask yourself if Germany were at war with Ukraine and Putin said Here are long-range missiles so that you can attack Berlin and Frankfurt, would Germany look to just Ukraine or to Russia orchestrating the whole war?

The tension will escalate starting next week. They will become more open by the week of 08/04, and then the week of 08/18.

2022 Intl War Index

To put this mildly, the Euro also has a Panic Cycle in 2026, as does our Cycle of War. Model. Merz is a traitor to the German people. The FIRST DUTY of any head of state is to protect his own people, not throw them into war on the directions of NATO and other warmongers. He should be dragged out of his office in chains. People often wondered if they could have stopped World War II if someone had assassinated Hitler. I fear they will one day hypothetically wonder the same about Merz.

Treaty_of_Rome

Europe is pushing DESPERATELY for war. This is not going to end well. The third time will NOT be the charm for an attempted conquest of Russia. The EU will lose, and it will no longer exist. The target of 2026.03 will be the culmination of the 8th 8.6-year wave from the Treaty of Rome, signed in 1957.23. The final capitulation of the EU is expected by 2030.

Medvedev Advises Putin Start WWIII Before Trump’s 50 day Ultimatum


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong

2025_07_17_23_16_49_Russia_s_former_president_tells_Putin_to_strike_US_now_while_he_still_can_and_5_

QUESTION: After reading you for more than 10 years, I understand that you are the best at geopolitics because you honestly know history. Medvedev has called on Vladimir Putin to consider pre-emptive strikes against the US and its allies in response to Donald Trump’s ‘theatrical’ 50-day deadline. What would your advice be to Putin, since no leader can do what Trump has demanded and remain in power?

PD

Minsk Agreement Head of State

ANSWER: I would give the West 31 days to (1) remove Zelensky & hold an election in Ukraine, (2) honor the Minsk Agreement as the West guaranteed, and let the Donbas vote on separation as took place in Czechoslovakia and the breakup of Yugoslavia. If that is not carried out, the Ukrainian people have 2 weeks to vacate Kiev, and it will be nuked.

Nuclear Launch Button R

NATO will claim that they will target Moscow, and I would then lock in every capital of Europe. If Trump intervenes, I would target Washington, NYC, Chicago, and LA without dropping leaflets. Maybe then the people will get off their ass and remove the leaders of Europe, and the American Neocons should be hauled out and imprisoned for a usurpation of power, and that would be using the West’s tactics of REGIME CHANGE in reverse.

Let us not forget that the Neocons of the US and Europe deliberately created this civil war in Ukraine. John McCain and Victoria Nuland overthrew the Ukrainian government and installed a puppet regime. They lied to the Ukrainian people, telling them this was their moment for peace and it was just about them. What bullshit!

Nuland FUCK EU

Victoria Nuland decided who would run Ukraine, not the people. Her gaffe was “F the EU”, she was deciding the fate of Ukraine. She installed her UNELECTED puppet and instructed Turchynov to attack the Donbas. The Ukrainian people were lied to by Zelensky, who ran on a promise of peace.

War drummer_clear

Our press always condemns Putin and will never tell the truth because the Neocons pay them to drum up the war at all costs. WAR, WAR, WAR. Why? That leads to massive death, the destruction of our economic future, and war never ends as expected. The bulk of our national debt is the cost of the endless wars of the Neocons, which Trump promised to stop, so much for democracy.

2019 Zelensky win Russia Hopeful

The death toll was 130,000 when Zelensky was running, and he promised peace. It is now approaching 1.5 million, and over 8 million have fled the country. Russia was optimistic that Zelensky’s election would end the war. He has suspended the election, assumed a dictatorial role, and takes his orders from NATO. No major country suspended elections during World War I or World War II.

The Ukrainian people have been played as fools, denied any democratic process. What I hear behind the curtain is that nobody cares about the Ukrainian people, what the hell, they were all communists and Nazis before anyhow.

Boris_Johnson_We_are_in_a_proxy_war_against_Russia_
Zelenskyy Johnson

It was Boris Johnson who flew to Kiev and instructed Zelensky that he was not allowed to sign any peace deal. The Ukrainians I speak to ask, are they allowed to have peace without permission from London, Paris, Berlin, and Washington?

Chess war blood

The Neocons only care about winning. They do not care about the cost, the people who die on the battlefield, nor the “collateral damage” to civilians. World War II was the deadliest conflict in history, with massive casualties on both the military and civilian sides.

Total Estimated Deaths in WWII: 70–85 million

Military Deaths: 21–25 million

Civilian Deaths: 50–55 million

Merkel_Minsk_Buy_Time_to Prepare for wart

Europe lied and signed a peace treaty, and Merkel admitted that they had no intention of honoring that agreement. It was only to buy time for Ukraine to raise an army to start World War III against Russia.

table_meeting_greeting_300_clr_18314 1

The West wants this War. There is no possible way for Putin to come to any peace terms with the West. They will not honor it, for the Neocons have spent their entire lives dreaming about the conquest of Russia. The West is infected with these warmongers. There is no dealing with them. It is up to us to get off our ass and demand their removal!!!!

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

Our computer has been correct all along. I stood up at the 2011 WEC in Philadelphia and warned that the war cycle turned up in 2014. That was correct, and it was the Ukrainian Revolution. In 2013, the year before, I warned that the computer had targeted Ukraine as the hot spot. These are NOT my personal forecasts. Nobody can be that correct from a “I think” perspective.

2022 Intl War Index

The computer has been forecasting World War III, and 2026 is a Panic Cycle. With Trump’s absurd 50-day ultimatum, we can expect that this will indeed start to heat up from August onward.

Sun Tzu

60% of Canadians Face Rising Mortgage Payments by 2026


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Housing

Canadians with a mortgage renewal in the near future are facing trouble ahead. The Bank of Canada released a new report detailing that around 60% of outstanding mortgages are set to renew in 2025 or 2026, and those homeowners are highly likely to see a rise in monthly payments.

Most borrowers went into a five-year, fixed-rate mortgage when rates were significantly lower. The average monthly mortgage payment for those renewing in 2025 is expected to rise by 10% compared to December 2024. Those set to renew in 2026 should anticipate a 6% monthly increase in comparison to the same time period. However, this is all dependent upon the type of product purchased. The central bank noted that those who selected a variable rate payment may actually see a decline of between 5% to 7%. Those with a five-year, fixed-rate payment could see an increase of up to 15% to 20%. Of the 60% of mortgage holders facing renewals, around 75% of those facing increases hold a five-year, fixed-rate mortgage.

Five-year, fixed-rate mortgages account for 40% of all outstanding mortgages in the nation. The central bank’s report notes that 20% of these holders with mortgages renewing in 2026 will experience an increase.

The variable rate surpassed its peak years ago, but the renewal rates vary drastically. At the top, 10% of those renewing in 2026 could experience an increase of over 40%, while at the bottom, around 25% may see a decrease of at least 7%. Principal payments made since origination is one of the primary factors. Those who chose or had the ability to increase monthly payments to cover principal and interest are less likely to experience a dramatic price increase at renewal compared to those in negative amortization. These loans face rising interest that is added to the principal when the monthly payment is unable to meet the initial interest.

Around 80% of those with variable loans who renewed prior to March 2022 have repaid beyond their contract, leading to only 5% of that group holding a higher principal balance in February 2025 compared to the previous renewal or origination.

The central bank has deemed that this will not cause severe stress to the Canadian economy. Yet, the central bank is counting on borrowers having a higher income at renewal.

“Overall, we do not expect upcoming mortgage renewals to lead to a severe worsening of financial stress for affected borrowers, holding everything else constant. Indeed, most borrowers will likely have higher income at renewal and should face interest rates below what they were stress-tested for. That said, some borrowers with higher payments at renewal will face challenges. Many of them will need to change their spending to manage higher mortgage payments. And some may struggle to meet their other financial obligations.”

This is an optimistic analysis that relies on the economy strengthening at a time when the indicators are not there. Households cannot necessarily absorb these rate hikes, as we are looking at around 60% of renewals experiencing an uptick in monthly payments. The models show rising tension across Canadian banks and mortgage-backed assets into Q1 2026. This is not about a bubble bursting. It’s about a slow, structural compression.

US Secures $15B Energy Deal with Italy


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Oil Tanker

Italy has finalized a major energy deal with the United States, which will reform energy trade between the two nations. Unlike other European countries that are hesitant to rely on the US under Trump, Italy’s Giorgia Meloni has sought to strengthen ties with the world’s leading economy in mutually beneficial trade agreements. The $15 billion 20-year deal will provide two million metric tons of American natural gas to the European nation.

Venture Global and Italian energy giant Eni solidified the deal. State-controlled energy company Eni has never issued the US a long-term liquefied natural gas (LNG) contract, and stated that the portfolio will expand to 20 million tons of LNG annually by 2030. The United States is essentially replacing Russia as Italy’s energy supplier.

Energy exports to Italy from the US have dramatically increased in the years since the Russian war, followed by Russian sanctions. Over 20% of Italy’s total LNG imports came from the US in 2022, tripling the amount imported from 2021 prior to the Russia-Ukraine war.  Two-thirds of Italy’s energy is provided through fossil fuels, with 35.7% coming from natural gas and 37% from oil. The notable distinguishing feature of this plan is the duration, as Italy is counting on the United States to remain a stable ally.

Venture Global announced in June that it would begin supplying additional US gas to a German-based distributor as well. In fact, the United States has essentially replaced Russia as the European Union’s largest energy importer. In 2024 alone, the US provided the EU with 45% of its LNG needs.

There is mixed sentiment over Europe becoming reliant on American energy. European institutions are still attempting to uphold the Green Deal and implement environmental and climate regulations. They expect the US to meet their asinine methane emission rules. Other nations with US-skeptic leaders are wary of trade leverage. Eliminating Russian energy was essentially Europe shooting itself in the foot. While cautious, European leaders know that they need a new source of energy, and the capitalists leading America will happily supply it to them.

UK to Permit 16-Year-Olds to Voteoriginally onUK to Permit 16-Year-Olds to Vote


Posted originally on Jul 18, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Vote.UK_.Election

Teens in the United Kingdom were recently deemed too irresponsible to use social media and user-generated online content. Yet, the government has deemed it appropriate to now permit teens to begin voting in elections at the age of 16.

The Labour Party has been pushing legislation to permit 16-year-olds to vote. Coupled with digital IDs, teens will be permitted to apply for proper credentials as the UK moves toward an “increasingly automated voter registration system.”

“For too long public trust in our democracy has been damaged and faith in our institutions has been allowed to decline,” Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner said. “We are taking action to break down barriers to participation that will ensure more people have the opportunity to engage in UK democracy, supporting our plan for change, and delivering on our manifesto commitment to give 16-year-olds the right to vote.”

Young voters are the least likely demographic to cast a vote. In the UK’s 2024 general election, voter turnout for the 18-24 year-old demographic was only 47%. Yet, the youth tend to favor the Labour Party, leading many to believe this measure is an attempt to buy votes. As Winston Churchill famously said, “If you’re not a liberal when you’re young, you have no heart; if you’re not a conservative when you’re old, you have no brain.”

The government forces this demographic to pay taxes on earnings over £12,570. They must pay into the National Insurance fund from age 16 if they earn above the limit, with the government currently taking £242 per week. Teens as young as 15 years and 7 months may join the Army, and those 16 years of age of older may begin basic training with parental consent. However, they cannot serve in active armed operations until they turn 18.

Are 16 and 17-year-olds responsible enough to vote? If the government deems they responsible enough to begin training to fight and pay taxes, then perhaps the youth should be permitted to select who will lead them into war and dip into their pockets. Better yet, stop sending kids off to die in foreign wars and dissuading the youth from seeking out entry-level roles with taxation. If they’re responsible enough to select the leader of their nation, they should be able to access the internet freely and be exposed to a wide range of voices and opinions, rather than what the government labels as information or misinformation.