Posted originally on Mar 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed Socrates for over a year now. I was told by friends you run the most unbiased site in the industry. I greatly appreciate how objective it really has been. What I am dumbfounded by is how, with the tension now with Iran and Trump’s ultimatum to Iran, even things like this take place when Socrates projects months in advance. I don’t want the code. You were willing to give your life to protect that. Can you give us a hint at how Socrates can see things nobody else does?
A most respectful convert
MM
ANSWER: I believe that pressure is building within the system, and it is that pressure that compels people to react. The computer forecasts that pressure, not some order that Trump may or may not sign. Trump is compelled to take action because of the pressure. The computer tells us when that pressure will reach a turning point that compels a response.
We have lost the knowledge that existed before the Dark Ages. There is a mysterious force that many do not wish to acknowledge even exists because they cannot see everything simultaneously and connect the dots. I am working hard to deliver two books, which I hope will be my legacy and what I leave behind. I have tried my damndest to defeat my own computer, and I have always failed. The sequel to the movie on me, The Forecaster, may be out by May. I was asked a tricky question, understanding that the forecasts are not my personal opinion. The question was:
How does it feel to live through your own forecasts?
They have been filming me at every conference since 2011. So they have recorded all the forecasts, including me standing up in 2011 and forecasting that the War Cycle would begin in 2014.
Here is the first draft of the Prologue to the book on the business cycle and the Economic Confidence Model. I am working hard to complete it.
Posted originally on CTH onMarch 28, 2025 | Sundance
Canada Prime Minister Mark Carney delivers a speech to the nation notifying the Canadian people that the era of an economic and military collaborative relationship between the United States and Canada is over.
As the majority of Canadians cheer, the Prime Minister said that Canada as a free independent and sovereign nation will now embrace its connections to the United Kingdon and European Union and seek to replace their national dependency on the United States by severing ties in North America and entering a new era of close relations with Great Britain and Europe.
When questioned if Canada would join the European Union, a seemingly natural fit for the ideologically aligned country, Prime Minister Carney said, “nothing is off the table.” In a rather remarkable end to the confrontation, the Carney says the economic and military ties between the USA and Canada are officially declared severed. WATCH:
“We as Canadians, have agency”… What does that even mean?
.
President Trump asked Prime Minister Trudeau and the Canadian government to close the border to narcotraffickers and shutdown the pipeline of Chinese fentanyl. The Canadian govt chose not to and Prime Minister Mark Carney continues the refusal.
The entire Canadian border enforcement system, agents, support personnel, the entire operation for 5,000-mile border consists of 300 people. Not exactly a strong commitment to border security.
President Trump asked the Canadian government to remove trade tariffs, remove non-tariff trade barriers, and initiate reciprocal trade. The Canadian govt chose not to.
President Trump asked the Canadian govt to stop being a pass-through for Chinese goods that violates the USMCA. The Canadian govt chose not to.
President Trump asked the Canadian govt to open access to U.S. banks and financial services. The Canadian govt said no.
President Trump asked the Canadian govt to live up to the NATO commitment of 2.5% GDP spending on military defense. The Canadian govt said no, you will defend us free of charge and just accept it.
Now, members of the Canadian government are saying they want to “inflict the maximum amount of pain on Americans possible.”
Canada destroyed most of their heavy industry and chases the climate change hoax in all economic policies. Canada is destroying itself, no help from the UK or EU is needed.
Canada imported Steel and Aluminum from China, then shipped it into the USA, undercutting U.S. industry and trying to weaken U.S. heavy industry to match their own level of dependence. Eventually, President Trump said ENOUGH!
Posted originally on Mar 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
The European Union has a “new normal” for bloc resolutions that no longer require unanimous votes. Hungary adamantly rejects the proposal to send $22 billion (20 billion euros) to Ukraine, therefore, the bloc instantaneously changed the rules and determined that unanimity is no longer a requirement.
“The statement on Ukraine today will be issued as an annex on behalf of the 26,” said one senior EU diplomat, granted anonymity to discuss Thursday’s closed-door talks. “This is the new normal. And it is useful when it comes to political intent. Maybe down the line though we will encounter other problems.”
Hungarian politician Péter Szijjártó said that his nation will not support “a pro-war stance” and vehemently believes that an additional aid package will only worsen matters. “We will not allow ourselves to be dragged into this, we will not allow Hungarian taxpayers’ money to be used to finance arms shipments to Ukraine. Instead, we support peace negotiations,” he wrote on Facebook. He also noted that the United States had offered Ukraine the option to initiate a ceasefire deal that Zelensky infamously turned down.
Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania are now calling for “concrete proposals on how to decisively advance Ukraine’s accession process” to join the EU. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said she believes Ukraine could gain access to the bloc before 2030. In the meantime, Ukraine would like to enjoy the benefits that come along with being an EU member such as duty-free trade deals that allow them to undercut other members in the bloc.
The EU is heading toward failure because it was never designed as a true economic union but rather as a political project driven by bureaucratic elites who have little understanding of free markets or economic cycles. From its inception, the EU has been obsessed with centralizing power in Brussels, stripping individual member states of their sovereignty while imposing unrealistic economic policies that are now leading to its unraveling.
Hungary, under Viktor Orban, has taken a different path from the rest of the EU. It has resisted Brussels’ mandates on immigration, energy, and foreign policy. Orbán has maintained strong economic ties with Russia and China, recognizing that Hungary’s energy security depends on Russian oil and gas. Yet, Brussels has the power to override elected officials such as Orban and dismiss the democratic process entirely. A few unelected bureaucrats in Brussels now have ultimate power over the lives of the entirety of Europe—precisely why they created the union in the first place.
Posted originally on Mar 25, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Few know that Bill Gates heavily lobbied for the Inflation Reduction Act, which former President Joe Biden later admitted was intended to combat climate change and not inflation. Gates met with key lawmakers like Senator Joe Manchin ahead of the 2022 legislation. Another tool utilized by Gates was Breakthrough Energy, a venture fund he established in 2015 to promote net zero policies. The group recently laid off most of their employees in Washington, D.C., as Gates shifts methods for “climate” advocacy.
“We need to go from 51 billion tons of emissions per year to zero,” Breakthrough Energy stated on its website. “The only way to avoid the worst impacts of climate change is to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions from 51 billion tons a year, where they are now, to net-zero—and we need to do it by 2050. That means we need unprecedented technological transformations in almost every sector of modern life.”
Gates has every intention of continuing to push for net zero by 2050. However, Gates admitted that he needed to shift his policy amidst the new political landscape where he cannot directly influence policy. And what better way to do that than to throw money at the private sector. The focus is now on creating clean energy technology rather than manipulating public policy. Gates admitted he had to shift course because Donald Trump was revitalizing the energy sector and lifting restrictions on fossil fuels.
Breakthrough Energy and Gates are now focusing on Europe, where leaders are still on board with the Paris Accord. Instead of acknowledging that Europe’s economy is failing due to these initiatives, Breakthrough claims that key companies like Volkswagen, ThyssenKrupp Steel, Northvolt, and ACC Gigafactories are failing because Europe is not adopting clean energy fast enough.
“Europe is at a crossroads. In his analysis published in September 2024, Mario Draghi highlighted an “existential risk” and forecast Europe’s “slow agony” if it doesn’t radically change course to reverse declining productivity, investment, and innovation. Recent announcements only seem to confirm this dire prediction: industries are reducing production across Europe (Volkswagen, thyssenkrupp Steel); announced investments are being cancelled or put on hold (Northvolt, ACC Gigafactories), and industrial output in Europe’s four largest economies is declining, with Germany, France, Italy and Spain having recorded a year-on-year drop in the production of capital goods and consumer durables.
There is no denying it: Europe is in crisis, one in which its established industrial base is eroding while new sectors fail to get off the ground. This is particularly concerning for cleantech where Europe’s ambitions are high, but the economic realities are sobering. As the recent bankruptcy of Northvolt reminds us, even with solid industrial policy in place, it is hard to scale up in Europe. Turning this situation around will be one of the overriding priorities of the new European Commission, which has recently unveiled the Competitiveness Compass and will soon produce the Clean Industrial Deal, two new (long overdue) economic and industrial policy programs. In a volatile security and fractured geopolitical environment, with looming threats of trade wars and deepening systemic competition, European policymakers have their work cut out for them.”
The European Commission welcomes Gates’ proposal and believes it can perpetually spend to achieve net zero by 2050. I explained in another blog post how scientists have stated that this goal is IMPOSSIBLE. Moreover, the World Economic Forum has pushed the EU to create the Clean Industrial Deal (CID) through a €100 billion spending package. It is no conspiracy to point out that globalist organizations are pushing Europe into economic ruin.
Posted originally on CTH on March 24, 2025 | Sundance
Interim installed Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has confirmed the snap election for Canada is scheduled for April 28, 2025.
Given that Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre generally sealed his fate with criticism of President Trump while aligning himself with a surging patriotic-leftist movement, it is now expected that Mark Carney will win the election.
Politico has an article about the dynamic underway, and the following quotes are noteworthy:
CANADA – […] Trump has even taken credit for turning the Liberals’ fortunes around.
“Before I got involved and totally changed the election — which I don’t care about, probably, it’s our advantage, actually — but the Conservative was leading against, I call him Governor Trudeau. The conservative was leading by 35 points,” he said Friday, while exaggerating the polls.
“I think Canada is a place, like a lot of other places, if you have a good candidate, the candidate is going to work,” Trump said.
[…] Canadians have responded to Trump’s intimidation tactics with an outburst of patriotism. They are canceling spring break plans, buying made-in-Canada products, damaging Teslas and booing “The Star Spangled Banner” at professional sporting events.
Carney’s campaign slogan is “Canada Strong” while Poilievre’s is “Canada First.”
[…] In a recent interview with Fox News, the president was asked about how his recent treatment toward Canada appears to be helping the Liberal party.
“I don’t care,” he said. “I think it’s easier to deal, actually, with a liberal and maybe they’re going to win, but I don’t really care.”
Trump went on to say Poilievre “is stupidly no friend of mine” because of the “negative things” he has said about the president.
Poilievre has tried to frame the comments as proof that Trump is endorsing Carney, while the Conservative leader attempts to revamp his strategy to meet the moment. (read more)
From the perspective of President Trump, the main asset in the arsenal of the Canadian tariffs is “energy.” As a consequence, having a strong “climate change” prime minister up there will mitigate any use of the energy sector and help the strategic North American economic strategy of President Trump.
Boycotts by Canadians are generally welcomed in the U.S. hospitality industry, not coincidentally an industry of great familiarity to President Trump. Canada simply doesn’t have any tariff weapons in their arsenal for countervailing duties.
The latest strategy by the Canadian government is to rent billboards in various red states, trying to convince Americans they need Canada more than they need Donald Trump’s reciprocity tariffs. It is a dubious proposition at best, and a little funny all things considered. But hey, the feels. [Prompted]
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America