QUESTION: Looking at Socrates, do you think that these people who were constantly calling for a recession because there were two quarters that declined with covid really need revision? Socrates was correct, no recession. But it is showing major turning points in 2024 which seem to align with your old ECM forecast calling for commodity inflation into 2024. How would you define a recession?
EJ
ANSWER: In trading, reactions are 1 to 3 time units. I believe that the same definition should be used for classifying a recession. They define a recession as two consecutive quarterly declines. If you look at the “Great Recession” of 2008-2009, you will see three consecutive quarterly declines and a rebound. If we look at the COVID recession caused by locking everyone down, that was just two consecutive quarterly declines.
I personally would argue that a true economic recession MUST exceed three consecutive declines. Here is the chart of GNP from 1929 to 1940. There were three years of negative growth. I simply think that this definition of two quarters is wrong. You can have a slight decline of 1 to even 5%, but that does not suggest a recession. In the case of 1929, that was a decline of 9.5% in 1930 – the first year. Now look at the COVID Crash, which was also a decline of 9.53%. But the difference is that the COVID decline was forced and not natural. That is why it rebounded so quickly. Now the so-called “Great Recession” of 2008-2009 only saw a decline in GDP of 3.47%.
The “Great Recession” was not really so great. It wiped out real estate and bankers but did not fundamentally alter the economy. So who is right and who is wrong will always depend upon the definition. Yes, the AI Timing Arrays point to a recession starting Next Year by their definition. This will most likely be caused by the decline in confidence that will lead to UNCERTAINTY, and as such, the consumer will contract. Up to now, the continued expansion of the economy into 2024 has also been fueled by the shift in assets from public to private.
As originally forecast, we should have seen a commodity boom into 2023,
and we should expect a highly authoritarian attempt by 2028.
Everyone dismisses the most significant power grab in modern history now. People laugh off the vaccine, knowing it did not prevent infection or transmission. They poke fun at the intense fear felt by the masses for years and chalk up COVID to a bad time. They forget that those of us who rejected the narrative were demonized. In fact, they wanted to take our children away and put us in jail.
A Rasmussen Report study from January 2022, not long ago, reported: “Nearly half (48%) of Democratic voters think federal and state governments should be able to fine or imprison individuals who publicly question the efficacy of the existing COVID-19 vaccines on social media, television, radio, or in online or digital publications.” About 14% of Republicans agreed.
Fifty-nine percent of Democrats wanted to implement a policy “requiring citizens remain confined to their homes at all time, except for emergencies, if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine.” They wanted to completely banish the unvaccinated from society and place us under house arrest for failure to comply. Forty-seven percent of Democrats wanted the government to place digital tracking devices on the unvaccinated to ensure they were confined to a designated area away from society. Worse, 45% of Democrats favored “requiring citizens to temporarily live in designated facilities or locations if they refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccine.” COVID concentration camps were on the table two years ago.
Taking it a step further, 29% of Democrats “would support temporarily removing parents’ custody of their children if parents refuse to take the COVID-19 vaccine.” Yes – they wanted to take our children away because we did not submit to an experimental vaccine.
So go on and make Fauci memes and jokes and pretend COVID was simply a bad few years. People wonder how the Germans allowed the Nazis to gain control while turning a blind eye. A significant portion of our population wanted all dissenters removed from society. Never forget – no COVID amnesty.
Posted originally on the CTH on July 11, 2023 | Sundance
The insurance crisis in Florida is hitting the middle-class family, working community and retirees on a fixed income directly. Hundreds of thousands of residents have lost insurance coverage, and even more have seen policy premiums double. It is not uncommon to find homeowners who are paying more for insurance than their actual mortgage payment. Unfortunately, the situation is getting worse.
Farmers Insurance has notified the state they are pulling out of Florida, will not be writing any additional policies in the Sunshine state and when existing policies expire, they will not be renewed. Home and auto policy rates have already doubled in many areas for many people.
The insurance situation is becoming more unstable by the day, and the future outlook seems even worse amid reports that even more companies are planning to exit.
FLORIDA – Another property insurer is dropping coverage in Florida.
Farmers Insurance will stop writing new business and not renew its existing “Farmers-branded” automobile, home and umbrella policies in the Sunshine State, the company said Tuesday.
Last month, Farmers said it was only pausing new business in Florida. The company is also limiting new home policies in California, where it is based, according to news reports.
“This business decision was necessary to effectively manage risk exposure,” the company said in a statement.
The move will impact 30% of the company’s business in Florida, or roughly 100,000 policies. Policyholders affected by the decision are required to be given 120 days’ notice that their coverage will not be renewed.
Farmers on Monday sent notice of its plans to the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation, which is reviewing it. Insurers must give the office 90 days’ notice if they want to discontinue writing business in Florida. (read more)
The insurance company withdrawals works in concert with investment groups who prey on the outcome. Single family homes and even large condo developments are squeezed into a situation where housing is no longer affordable. The investment vultures then swoop in and end up controlling the properties.
Florida’s working and middle-class is being destroyed and a divide between the haves and have-nots is being created. The wealth gap is expanding as families are forced to leave the state and a larger percentage of self-insured rich people move in.
Long before Ron DeSantis became a potential presidential candidate, and long before Hurricane Ian devastated southwest Florida in 2022, I was highly critical of state policies that were not constructed around the backbone of the economy, the working class. Temporary H1B Visa workers replacing permanent residents as a workforce to fill the gap is not a long-term solution.
When you stop paying attention to the economic systems that support a sustainable service and production workforce in Florida, this snowballing outcome is predictable. None of it is good. Unfortunately, as I forewarned prior to the COVID era, Governor Ron DeSantis is creating a class-war tinderbox. The sentiment on the ground is increasingly growing angry. His absence is only making it worse.
QUESTION: There has been talk that Trudeau will use the fires to claim a climate crisis, and that will justify lockdowns again. Is there any truth to these rumors?
FS
ANSWER: There is definitely the idea of using climate change to justify lockdowns. However, this is really not for climate change but for crowd control. They are well aware of the rising discontent civilly, which historically produces revolution. They are pushing for world war III for two reasons.
First, it will be the excuse to default on all sovereign debt as they are also attracted to the Schwab-Soros solution of a one-world government. If that is the case, then all previous sovereign debt will be null and void. The United States did that with the debt of the Continental Congress when they created the United States. That’s why you can collect the revolutionary currency that was never honored.
Secondly, they fear revolution is in the wind. In order to prevent that from taking place, they need to restrict all travel, censor social media, and lock us down using climate change as the excuse.
You may not know it, but at the Paris climate summit, they REFUSED to allow anyone to testify who disputed their agenda. That was the start of this Cancel Culture. The Guardian published the truth, perhaps ahead of schedule. There are those pushing for lockdowns every two years to meet the Paris requirement of ZERO CO2. Everyone’s future is to change, and they never ONCE allowed anyone to ever vote on this agenda. These people understand that civil unrest is on the rise. They desperately need a diversion. Russia is providing that for now.
Video
Will people support this war against Russia and draft people to go to Ukraine? Will that be the turning point? Are you willing to send your children or yourself to fight for Ukraine over the Donbas, which is the home to Russians, not Ukrainians, for hundreds of years when it does not impact our lives? They know there will be resistance. If it is too great, you will suddenly see the need for climate change lockdowns.
The Earth contains the blueprint for ancient life. Ice core samples and tree fossils have taught us much about the seemingly undocumented world. Researchers at Central Andean Plateau in Peru have made a groundbreaking discovery within a 10-million-year-old well-preserved tree fossil. Their findings further prove that climate change is a naturally cyclically occurring phenomenon.
Ten million years ago marked the late Miocene Epoch period, a time of global cooling. Sea levels and rainfall declined, rainforests began to deplete, and numerous animal and plant species became extinct in favor of new species that could withstand the climate. Humans could not be blamed for this shift as homo sapiens did not exist.
The ancient tree and other samples show that the ecosystem of South America has undergone significant changes. The climate was more humid and diverse than previously believed, shifting to a dry and scarce environment. Researchers noted that elevation significantly rose from 2,000 meters to 4,000 meters, a primary factor for the change in climate.
Fossils dated 5 million years old reveal that the climate had already shifted by then and resembled the puna-like ecosystem of today. The dry and scarce environment changed to one of greenery and abundance. Researchers now believe shifts in the tectonic plates that slowly occurred over millenniums influenced climate change.
The planet is constantly changing and evolving. Humans are not responsible for the cyclically changing landscape of Earth.
The Biden Administration is making sure Americans turn to lab-grown fake meat by placing restrictions on fishing and hunting. They do not want us to live off the land or have access to free food. Big government will provide everything you need. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) issued its 2023-2024 hunting and fishing rule manual that lists new limitations on hunting. Stores will no longer be permitted to sell certain fishing tackle or lead ammunition.
The elites have been attempting to implement these laws for some time under the guise of climate change. The Center for Biological Diversity won a lawsuit in 2021 to repeal a Trump Administration law that permitted hunting and fishing on 2.3 million acers across 147 fisheries and wildlife refuges.
“In conservation, the very essence of Teddy Roosevelt was multiple use, public access, the best science, greater good, longest term,” he continued. “That’s the American conservation ethic, which largely stems from Roosevelt and Pinchot and managing our forests. Hunting was core to that,” he stated. “This is a state issue. It should not be agenda based, it should be based on science. The state fish and wildlife experts evaluated within their respective boundaries and borders,” Zinke said. “If the environmentalists really wanted to get concerned about the bird population, maybe they should look at the 750,000 plus birds that are chopped up by wind and increasing.”. Ryan Zinke, R-Mont., stated, noting hunting and fishing is a priority for Montana residents.
They have no proof that lead ammunition is hurting the wildlife population. The government has told hunters to carry bear spray when out in the wilderness as they are attempting to phase out lead ammo by 2026. What’s next? Will they tell us to remove our gardens to conserve water? Prevent personal fertilizer purchases? This is not the land of the free, as the land is no longer ours to live off of as nature intended.
The border crisis that we have in the United States is part of the cycle of disease that our model has been projecting. In late May, Sarasota County, Florida, health officials confirmed that they had identified a case of locally transmitted malaria. Then a second confirmed case appeared on June 23 rd in Texas, discovered in Cameron County. There are several thousand cases of malaria in the USA each year, but these are contracted overseas – not locally. A mosquito contracts it by biting a person who has malaria and then it bites another person giving them malaria. There have been ABSOLUTELY ZERO domestic malaria cases in over 20 years.
The source of this disease is clearly the migrants that Biden has been letting in in hopes of granting them citizenship so they can vote for him in the 2024 election against working Americans. The other plan is to offer them citizenship by signing up for the military since our volunteer army is understaffed. Those reasons aside, this mass migration comes with zero health requirements but then an employer cannot hire someone who does not have a SS# to pay taxes. Hence, they are here for a free ride.
A simple review of history reveals that such massive waves of disease with drastic death rates have ALWAYS, and without exception, been mostly linked to war where soldiers are sent to fight in foreign lands and bring home with them a new plague and mass migrations.
During the 14th century, rumors of a great plague in China and India killed most of their population. The plague made its way to Europe when the Kipchak forces besieged the Genoese trading post in Crimea – the disputed territory in Ukraine. The Kipchaks began to catapult plague-infested corpses over the walls and into the trading post. The disease spread quickly, and the Genoese abandoned the outpost. They sailed back to Europe, stopping in Sicily in 1347, taking back the Black Death. From there, it quickly engulfed all of Europe.
The Black Death occurred during Edward III’s reign (1327-1377), and contemporary accounts place the devastation between 30% and 50% of the population throughout Europe. Human nature never changes throughout the centuries. Just as we saw during COVID how they pushed Pfizer’s vaccines and refused to acknowledge the side-effects that even killed many, they demonized the unvaccinated. The very same took place during the Black Death.
While it was the “unvaccinated” during COVID, they blamed the Jews during the Black Death. Indeed, the Jewish population of Europe was turned into the spreader of the plague between 1347-1350. The Jews were accused of creating and spreading the plague (Cantor 2001; In the Wake of the Plague. Simon and Schuster, New York, NY.)
In Spain, Germany, and Italy, Jewish families were marked with distinctive clothing, isolated, and killed. Hitler was not the first to require distinctive clothing to identify the Jews. He got the idea from the Black Death. When the plague hit southern France in 1348, the hatred of the Jewish people was unleashed. Four Jewish citizens were dragged from their houses and burned at the stake on the mere accusation that they had poisoned the town’s water supply with plague.
The initial charges of spreading the plague in southern France led to an outbreak of accusations and an explosion of death where more than 2,000 Jews were burned alive in France and Germany (Tuchman 1978; A Distant Mirror: The Calamitous 14th Century. Ballantine Books, New York, NY.) With COVID, they were using the status of being unvaccinated as an anti-government rebel who would not comply.
Once the Jews became the scapegoats during the Black Death, that distinction remained for centuries. The Spanish King Ferdinand and Queen Isabella (1474-1504) initially tried to protect the Jewish population from the Spanish Inquisition about 100 years later because of their economic importance throughout the country as moneylenders. Nevertheless, there was no return to normal once society had been divided during the Black Death, even 100 years later. Thus, blaming the Jews continued, eventually leading to The Spanish Inquisition in 1478. This is what we need to fear that the division within society between the vaccinated and non-vaccinated will remain a strategy employed by our governments for decades to come. They were restricting travel to required vaccination because the unvaccinated were people who resisted tyranny. The Black Death divided society, as we have seen during COVID. We will see this rise again as we will also see lockdowns to protect the government now firmly in control of the Neocons.
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The document above was issued by Washington, D.C., on September 26, 1918, in response to the Spanish flu. The document states that the virus circulates annually in the US but is “more contagious during an epidemic, and pneumonia is a more frequent complication.”It explicitly states: “do not get hysterical over the epidemic.” That is the opposite of what they did during COVID against all medical norms. The government in 1918 admitted the virus only lasted a short time outside the body and suggested that people avoid those sick or having sick persons directly sneeze or cough on them (seems very fair). Wash your hands, stay home if you are sick, sleep, and eat well. Fresh air helps. “Fight the disease rationally and do not become unduly alarmed.” We were told during the experimental COVID tyranny to lock down, do not go outside, and cash was now lethal. These were all manipulations to prepare us for authoritarian rule and the elimination of paper money.
Throughout history, both migrations and war spread disease. Our cyclical models correlate the two stunningly. The Antonine Plague, sometimes referred to as the Plague of Galen, erupted in 165 AD, at the height of Roman power throughout the Mediterranean world during the reign of Marcus Aurelius Antoninus (161-180AD). The first phase of the outbreak would last until 180AD affecting the entirety of the Roman Empire. The Antonine Plague of 165 to 180AD was the first known pandemic impacting the Roman Empire. It was most likely contracted by soldiers who were returning from campaigns in the Near East and spread throughout the empire.
That was the same correlation we found with the Black Death taken to Crimea by the invading forces from Asia. The Antonine Plague most likely took the life of Roman Emperor Lucius Verus. According to the Roman historian Cassius Dio, the disease broke out again nine years later, in 189 AD. That time he said, it caused up to 2,000 deaths per day in Rome itself. The total death count at the time ranged between 5 and 10 million. About 25% of those who contracted the plague died. This amounted to about 10% of the population being reduced.
The next plague came in 251-266 AD and is known as the Plague of Cyprian, taking its name from St. Cyprian, the bishop of Carthage who witnessed and described the plague. Some historians have suggested that this plague also represents a useful starting point for understanding the beginning of the decline of the Roman Empire in the West and the underpinning of its ultimate fall. Once again, it was brought from Asia by invading armies. Emperor Trajan Decius (249-251AD) and his oldest son Herennius Etruscus (251AD) were killed in battle against the invading Goths. His youngest son, Hostilian (251 AD), died of the plague they brought with them to the Roman Empire.
This coin was issued by Trebonianus Gallus (251-253AD), appealing to Apollo Salutaris, who was believed to have been the god of healing to save the Empire. The Plague of Cyprian infected the Roman Empire from about 249 to 262 AD. It is not known precisely what it was. But from the description, it may have been smallpox, measles, or a viral hemorrhagic fever like Ebola. We know that this plague weakened Rome during the 3rd century, causing a widespread decline in the workforce. That resulted in food shortages and for lack of manpower to produce food for the Roman army. This contributed greatly to the collapse of the 3rd century and the price inflation in food as we are experiencing today.
The next disease cycle was during the reign of Byzantine Emperor Justinian I (527-565AD) and is thus known as the Plague of Justinian (541-542AD). This was the third major plague that struck during the 6th century. Research has been conducted on skeletons that have survived. It has been confirmed that DNA from Yersinia pestis—the same bacterium responsible for the Black Death. This plague also became a pandemic that spread throughout the Mediterranean region, yet it coincided with a Volcanic Winter, reducing the food supply. A mysterious cloud appeared over the Mediterranean basin, according to the historian Procopius of Caesarea (Procopius Caesarensis; c. 500-560 AD), who wrote:
“The sun gave forth its light without brightness, and it seemed exceedingly like the sun in eclipse, for the beams it shed were not clear.”
This was a volcanic cloud that blocked the sun setting in motion climate cooling for more than a decade. Crops failed, and there was widespread famine. This deadly combination of disease and climate change cooling set in motion a death spiral that swept through the Eastern Roman Empire killing 5,000 to 10,000 people per day in Constantinople.
War and migration have been the catalyst for disease. Why? The movement of populations from one region to another has historically spread disease. Even when the Europeans visited America, they brought diseases that killed many Indians. The National Institutes of Health estimated that 95 percent of the indigenous populations in the Americas were killed by infectious diseases during the years following European colonization, amounting to an estimated 20 million people. Likewise, Europeans who had sex with Indian women brought back to Europe Syphilis which did not previously exist in Europe.
Migrants sit in a boat during a rescue operation by the Italian navy off the coast of Sicily on Nov. 28. Italy is looking to revamp the way it handles the hundreds of thousands of migrants who arrive annually.
The massive migrations both in Europe and the United States are also impacting the disease cycle. What is fascinating is that there were exactly 86 years between the Antonine Plague and the Plague of Cyprian. There were about 34 intervals of 8.6 years until the first signs of the major event of the Justinian Plague, but this was also impacted by climate change and the plunge in temperatures.
“Never Again” is a new campaign by the Global Health Project. These doctors are now admitting that they broke the Hippocratic Oath by supporting the COVID agenda. They admit that they steered the people wrong, pushed forth dangerous unstudied vaccinations, and lost the public’s trust. It is too little, too late. “Remember that your well-being is not a product to be sold but a precious aspect of your existence,” the organization is now stating. But our well-being was discarded entirely for three years. Sure, there were some medical professionals who questioned what was going on. The majority told the people to get in line and follow “the science.” Trust in the medical community will never be fully restored.
Posted originally on the CTH on June 23, 2023 | Sundance
The House Ways and Means Committee held a press conference after a vote to release information from an IRS whistleblower that showed the U.S. Justice Department involved in an effort to protect Hunter Biden, the son of Joe Biden, from outcomes related to his illegal money laundering operation.
According to the accusations, the money laundering was done in an effort to hide Hunter and Joe Biden selling influence and accepting payments from foreign government sources. The allegations include, the Dept of Justice and FBI led by AG Merrick Garland and Deputy AG Lisa Monaco, interfered in the investigation in order to protect the Biden administration. WATCH:
“Today, the Ways and Means Committee voted to make public the testimony of IRS employees blowing the whistle on misconduct at the IRS and the Biden Department of Justice regarding unequal enforcement of tax law, interference and government abuse in the handling of investigations into criminal activity by President Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, and retaliation against IRS employees blowing the whistle on this abuse.”
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America